Good work, Gage Jump.
St. Louis at Kansas City
The closest we can get to something we like today is this, where we’re betting on Seth Lugo to pitch well in his first outing since taking a line drive to the noggin.
Pick: Kansas City to win +104. 3.81 units to win 3.96.
ALCS
Still a very good price on Seattle, considering they’re the second team listed.
Pick: Seattle to win +400. 4.00 units to win 16.00.
World Cup
Paraguay’s opener was a disaster, but it was only one game. They’re still at +140 to get through to the knockout stage. We’ll let you do the math on what this price therefore implies.
Canada’s got Switzerland on goal differential, which means a first and second knockout round in Vancouver is attainable with a draw against the Swiss. Also, even if they lose that game, it’s not like they’re eliminated.
Pick: Canada to reach quarterfinals +400. 1.00 unit to win 4.00.
Pick: Paraguay to reach round of 16 +650. 1.00 unit to win 6.50.
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These first two numbers are for the 2026–27 effort, which runs from the end of the 2026 Stanley Cup Final through the end of the 2027 NBA Finals, Stanley Cup Final, and maybe College World Series? We’ll see what all we’re betting when spring rolls around.
2026–27: –4.04 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2026–27: –8% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 10 single-game markets plus zero completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
2025–26: –4% average ROI
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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