Not fond of the Cleveland bullpen this morning.
We’re back with another MLB moneyline, plus today’s MLB futures and our first NBA futures of the campaign. As we said yesterday, probably no bets tomorrow.
Miami at Atlanta
Bryce Elder’s still pitching well, the Braves are going for a series win, and they’ve got an off day tomorrow with most of their bullpen using very few pitches last night. It’s expensive for good reason.
Pick: Atlanta to win –163. 14.82 units to win 9.09.
ALCS
I don’t know if the Twins are for real, but they’re definitely better than their third-worst ALCS odds imply.
Pick: Minnesota to win +5000. 2.00 units to win 100.00.
NL Central
Part of what’s happening here is that the Cubs are overvalued. But interestingly, the Reds are eating a lot of oxygen too. Their roster is not as good as the Pirates’. Wild to say, but true.
Pick: Pittsburgh to win +290. 2.00 units to win 5.80.
NBA Finals
These odds are too long for such a clear favorite in the East. A lot can happen over two months, and we’re not that far removed from the 2024 Celtics.
Pick: Boston to win +550. 1.00 unit to win 5.50.
Eastern Conference
Part of what makes the East so friendly to the Celtics is that the Cavs are probably favorites in the second round against the Pistons. That sets the Celtics up to have home court advantage the whole way through, in addition to avoiding the second and third-best teams on their side of the bracket.
Pick: Boston to win +160. 1.00 unit to win 1.60.
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These numbers are for the 2025–26 effort, which is currently scheduled to end at the end of the NBA Finals or Stanley Cup Final (whichever comes second). Sorry for the poor transparency. We’ll do a better job tracking the 2026–27 campaign, which is already underway with our MLB futures portfolio.
2025–26: –690.87 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,121 single-game markets plus seven completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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