Today’s Best Bets: Sunday, February 5th

Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,647 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.

Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.

Northwestern @ Wisconsin

As Northwestern’s grueling stretch approaches its close…

We can’t get the Michigan game out of our head.

And with Wisconsin looking so much better against Ohio State, we’re buying the Badgers, at least for this one.

Pick: Wisconsin -3.5 (-108). Low confidence.

Stanford @ Colorado

Stanford shows life now and then, but so far it hasn’t lasted. Better team playing at home, give that to us.

Pick: Colorado -5 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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