Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of –0.7% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 5,080 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3.1% across 1,617 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. FanGraphs is heavily used in making MLB picks.
Just the moneyline today, with futures off for the weekend again.
Single-game MLB bets: On the season, we’re 74–53–4, we’re up 16.77 units, we’re up 13% (the average line on our winners has been –106). April was great, May was bad, June was good, July was great. August is going well so far.
Baltimore @ Seattle
The odds are a little expensive, and Dylan Moore’s absence last night gives us some pause, but it’s tough to find good ones this time of year, and this is the best we’re finding. Cole Irvin struggled in the rotation this season and is now returning to it. The Mariners are playing their best ball. We can ride with that.
Pick: Seattle to win –155. Low confidence. (Irvin and Kirby must start.)
