Today’s Best Bet: Monday, February 14th

Editor’s Note: For a little more than three years now, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been positive, with an average return on investment, per pick, of 0.5% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 2,006 published picks, not including bets that remain pending, like futures. 0.5% doesn’t sound amazing, but we’re publishing it, aren’t we?

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.

Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks.

Washington State @ Oregon

Each of these teams is coming off a terrible loss, making it a little bit of a question of who will bounce back more effectively. On paper, Washington State’s the better team, but it’s close, and the game’s in Eugene. On the matchup side of things, the Ducks figure to pretty effectively neutralize their guests’ three-point shooting, but their inability to protect the defensive glass should hurt them, leading to some long, frustrating Cougar possessions.

This game does not sound fun.

Pick: Washington State +5 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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