Who Makes the New Year’s Bowls?

We promised yesterday we’d take a look at the rest of the New Year’s Six picture, and it’s a fun look to take. Missouri and Penn State both presumably have New Year’s Six spots on the line this weekend, with Iowa and Oklahoma State looking to crash the party while Mississippi holds slim hope of a backdoor entry. Tulane controls its fate, but SMU is a dangerous underdog, with Liberty next in line behind Tulane but Troy, Toledo, and SMU itself all hoping to move up and take the spot. Let’s run through every situation. Because we can.

(Updated bowl projections and playoff probabilities, through Tuesday’s rankings, are included at the bottom for archival purposes.)

The Group of Five

A task the College Football Playoff committee does, but does not seem to like, is choosing which Group of Five team to rank the highest. They don’t watch a lot of these teams’ games. They don’t usually think these teams are very good. Their primary purpose is to turn around from Saturday night’s games and set the top four in order before the selection show on Sunday. Maybe committee members love a good Liberty vs. SMU debate, but they sure haven’t seemed to put much thought into it over the final weekend in the past.

I say this because Boo Corrigan was asked this week whether there’s a path for SMU to make a New Year’s Six bowl, and he more or less said yes, but that doesn’t mean the committee would rank SMU ahead of Liberty with a win. It’s possible they would, and I do think the discussion would be brief (and therefore more uncertain), and they could be justified in doing so—beating Tulane on the road would be a really good win, and SMU is a really good Group of Five team. But based on SMU not being ranked yet, the committee traditionally not messing much with its 11^th to 25^th-place rankings between Tuesday and Sunday, and at least Kansas State standing between Liberty and SMU, the most likely thing for the committee to do is put Tulane in a NY6 bowl with a win, and to put Liberty in behind them, provided Liberty wins. There may be a path for SMU, but that path likely relies on Liberty losing.

(Our college football model disagrees with me on this. It believes SMU would probably jump Liberty with a win. But our model is built to portray a universe where the committee weighs each game equally, independent of timing, and that is for better or worse not how it’s done. This is a weakness of our model.)

So, who gets the Group of Five’s NY6 bid? Who’s the informal Group of Five national champion?

• If Tulane wins: Tulane
• If Tulane loses and Liberty wins: Probably Liberty, maybe SMU
• If Tulane and Liberty both lose: Probably SMU, maybe Toledo or Troy

There’s reason to hope for all five of these teams, and our model does think all five are in the committee’s top 28 (meaning SMU, Toledo, and Troy are the first three teams out in its estimate), but committees haven’t traditionally respected the Sun Belt, the committee should and does probably give the MAC more of a discount than our AAC-based model thinks it will (most mid-major precedent in the top 25 comes from the AAC, another weakness of our model), and the very human committee is unlikely to spend a ton of time on this piece of the puzzle, especially if they’ve just had to go to war with one another over whether to include Alabama or Texas as the playoff’s fourth team.

It’s probably Tulane, Liberty, or SMU. In that order.

The Orange Bowl

The Orange Bowl is the only NY6 bowl with any formal ties this year, though there are matters of geographic proximity which could send other teams to certain spots. Our understanding is that the top ACC team who isn’t in the playoff goes to the Orange Bowl, with “top ACC team” meaning either the champion or the highest-ranked option depending on whether or not the champion is in the playoff itself.

Louisville might move down with a bad loss to Florida State, but we don’t see a world where they fall past NC State. For one thing, they beat NC State head-to-head, and for another, Notre Dame’s between them and NC State and they beat Notre Dame head-to-head, and for a third, this committee loves raw win-loss record like none before it has, and for a fourth, the committee usually doesn’t mess too much with its 11^th to 25^th-place rankings between Tuesday and Sunday. So, there are three possibilities here on the ACC side:

• If Florida State wins and makes the playoff: Louisville
• If Florida State wins and doesn’t make the playoff: Florida State
• If Louisville wins: Louisville

On the other side, the ACC representative’s opponent will be the top-ranked non-playoff team from the Big Ten or SEC. That is most likely to be Ohio State, but an Alabama win over Georgia could change this, as could an Iowa win over Michigan or a slew of upsets which push Ohio State up into the playoff. There are 16 conference championship scenarios which affect this (the Pac-12 title game is pretty much irrelevant to who goes to the Orange Bowl), and we aren’t going to outline them all here, but options for this spot include Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, and Alabama. We don’t see a way for all four of those teams to make the playoff, so with the maximum being three, we’d imagine one of those four will go to the Orange Bowl.

The Cotton Bowl, Peach Bowl, and Fiesta Bowl

The best way to think about these slots is probably to include the Orange Bowl and envision there being seven open spots to begin with, given one is going to the Group of Five. Each conference gets to fill one slot, and there are two at-large slots left after those are filled.

If favorites win, the seven representatives are clear: Louisville represents the ACC. Washington represents the Pac-12. Ohio State represents the Big Ten. Alabama represents the SEC. Texas represents the Big 12. The two at-large slots are filled by Missouri and Penn State.

Where Mississippi could backdoor an invitation is if Florida State beats Louisville but is excluded from the playoff, Texas also wins and is also excluded from the playoff, and other favorites win. This is extremely unlikely. The playoff would have to be something like Michigan, Washington/Oregon, Alabama, and Georgia. So, it’s unlikely, but for the sake of exploring all scenarios, this could theoretically happen. Maybe Tate Rodemaker also goes down for the year (God forbid) and maybe Texas only narrowly survives Oklahoma State.

If Mississippi were to sneak in, the downstream effect would be that LSU would move up into the Citrus Bowl and Tennessee would move into the ReliaQuest Bowl, formerly known as the Outback Bowl and also played on New Year’s Day.

More likely, Penn State and possibly Missouri are under threat of losing their at-large places thanks to upsets. Possibilities in each league of who could get the automatic bid:

• ACC: It’s only Florida State or Louisville, but if it’s Louisville who wins the ACC, Florida State would steal an at-large bid.
• Big Ten: If Ohio State somehow makes the playoff, Penn State would get the automatic bid, which wouldn’t change much. Less likely: If Iowa upsets Michigan, Iowa would get the automatic bid, and the shuffling would bump Michigan or Ohio State into the Big Ten’s at-large position.
• Big 12: If Texas were to lose, Oklahoma State would get the automatic bid, and Texas would likely still make a NY6 bowl themselves, taking one of the at-large spots. If Texas were to win and make the playoff, Oklahoma would get the automatic bid, but someone else would have to have been bumped into the ACC or SEC or Big Ten or Pac-12’s automatic bid from the expected playoff field, leaving effectively one fewer spot for Penn State or Mizzou.
• Pac-12: This one is straightforward. It is in all likelihood the loser of the game, though in the scenario in which the winner is excluded from the playoff (more likely for Oregon than Washington, but not particularly likely for either), the loser would likely eat an at-large spot and take it away from Penn State or Mizzou.
• SEC: In the doomsday scenario where favorites win except Alabama beats Georgia, if the committee leaves the SEC out of the playoff entirely, Georgia would take an at-large bid.

Here’s the most chaotic scenario, spelled out, to give an idea of the maximum number of teams who could get washed into lower bowls:

• Iowa beats Michigan.
• Alabama beats Georgia.
• Louisville beats Florida State.
• Oklahoma State beats Texas.
• (the Pac-12 Championship doesn’t really affect this)

In this scenario, we’d expect something like the following for each of the NY6 spots:

• Playoff: Alabama, Pac-12 champion, Georgia, Michigan
• ACC automatic bid: Louisville
• Big Ten automatic bid: Iowa
• Big 12 automatic bid: Oklahoma State
• SEC automatic bid: Missouri
• Pac-12 automatic bid: Washington/Oregon loser
• Group of Five automatic bid: Tulane/Liberty/SMU
• First at-large bid: Ohio State
• Second at-large bid: Florida State or Texas

Is Mizzou safe, then? Not really. If you flip the scenarios above such that Georgia beats Alabama, you could get something like the following:

• Playoff: Georgia, Pac-12 champion, Michigan, Ohio State
• ACC automatic bid: Louisville
• Big Ten automatic bid: Iowa
• Big 12 automatic bid: Oklahoma State
• SEC automatic bid: Alabama
• Pac-12 automatic bid: Washington/Oregon loser
• Group of Five automatic bid: Tulane/Liberty/SMU
• First at-large bid: Florida State
• Second at-large bid: Texas

So, the only things that are assured are that Georgia, Michigan, Washington, Oregon, Ohio State, Alabama, and Louisville all have a NY6 floor (we really doubt Alabama would drop past Mizzou with a loss to Georgia). All of Florida State, Texas, Missouri, and Penn State could conceivably drop out, while all of Iowa, Oklahoma State, and Mississippi could conceivably sneak in (the Mississippi thing remains a stretch).

Downstream Effects

We’re writing this in part for our Notre Dame friends hoping to see Brian Kelly and LSU in The Artist Formerly Known as the Outback Bowl (you take what you can get, I suppose). But the rest of the bowl bids stem from who goes to the Citrus Bowl and the ReliaQuest Bowl.

The Citrus Bowl will, by our understanding, take the top available Big Ten team and the top available SEC team. The ReliaQuest Bowl will, by our understanding, take the top available SEC team once the Citrus Bowl has been filled, and then take the top available team from the Big Ten, the ACC, and Notre Dame, with Notre Dame an option ahead of anyone but Florida State (ND has to have been within one win of the ACC team to jump them in priority).

By our understanding: If Mississippi somehow sneaks into the NY6, LSU will move up into the Citrus Bowl. If Missouri is bumped out of the NY6, Mississippi will drop from the Citrus Bowl to the ReliaQuest Bowl, and LSU will drop out of the ReliaQuest Bowl and into something else.

By our understanding: If Florida State is bumped out of the NY6 entirely, they will go to the ReliaQuest Bowl.

By our understanding: If Penn State is bumped out of the NY6, they will go to the Citrus Bowl and Iowa will be bumped down into ReliaQuest Bowl consideration, provided Iowa isn’t in the NY6 themselves by having upset Michigan.

By our understanding: If Florida State isn’t available, the ReliaQuest Bowl will probably choose Notre Dame over Iowa, even if Iowa remains ranked ahead of Notre Dame. We don’t believe there’s a requirement for the ReliaQuest Bowl to take the higher-ranked team (some say there isn’t even a requirement for the Citrus Bowl to take the higher-ranked team, but those also note that LSU just played in the Citrus Bowl last year, so the Citrus Bowl would probably prefer fresh blood in the form of Mississippi anyway). We would think the ReliaQuest Bowl would definitely take Notre Dame ahead of Wisconsin, but Kyle Bonagura at ESPN has Wisconsin in this spot and Notre Dame playing Oklahoma State in the Pop-Tarts Bowl, which confuses us. Maybe Bonagura knows something we don’t.

In short:

The only way the ReliaQuest Bowl isn’t Notre Dame vs. LSU is if one of the following four things happens:

• Alabama wins and the rest of the games go chalk, but the committee puts both Alabama and Georgia in the playoff, leaving Mississippi stealing a spot in the NY6 and LSU moving up into the Citrus Bowl.
• Michigan wins and at least one of Oklahoma State and Louisville wins, bumping Penn State down into the Citrus Bowl but leaving Iowa available for the ReliaQuest Bowl. Then, the ReliaQuest Bowl takes Iowa ahead of Notre Dame.
• Iowa, Louisville, and Oklahoma State all win, and the committee then ranks Texas ahead of Florida State, pushing Florida State down into the ReliaQuest Bowl.
• There’s something we’re totally missing here. Either the mysterious Bonagura Scenario™, or the hazy scenario some are referencing in which the Citrus Bowl can take an ACC team if the Orange Bowl takes a Big Ten team. If that happens, maybe Notre Dame’s in the Citrus Bowl? Making it Notre Dame vs. Mississippi in the Citrus Bowl and Iowa vs. LSU in the ReliaQuest Bowl? We aren’t seeing this projected by many mainstream outlets.

***

Post-rankings bowl projections and probabilities, for the archives:

Date	Bowl	Team 1	Team 2	T1 Conference	T2 Conference
1/1/24	Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal)	Michigan	Oregon	Big Ten	Pac-12
1/1/24	Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal)	Georgia	Florida State	SEC	ACC
1/1/24	Fiesta Bowl	Texas	Washington	Big 12	Pac-12
1/1/24	ReliaQuest Bowl	LSU	Notre Dame	SEC	FBS Independents
1/1/24	Citrus Bowl	Mississippi	Iowa	SEC	Big Ten
12/30/23	Orange Bowl	Louisville	Ohio State	ACC	Big Ten
12/30/23	Peach Bowl	Alabama	Penn State	SEC	Big Ten
12/30/23	Music City Bowl	Maryland	Auburn	Big Ten	SEC
12/30/23	Arizona Bowl	Bowling Green State	Wyoming	MAC	Mountain West
12/29/23	Cotton Bowl	Missouri	Liberty	SEC	Conference USA
12/29/23	Gator Bowl	Clemson	Tennessee	ACC	SEC
12/29/23	Sun Bowl	Duke	Utah	ACC	Pac-12
12/29/23	Liberty Bowl	Kansas	Kentucky	Big 12	SEC
12/28/23	Pinstripe Bowl	Georgia Tech	Northwestern	ACC	Big Ten
12/28/23	Pop-Tarts Bowl	North Carolina	Oklahoma State	ACC	Big 12
12/28/23	Fenway Bowl	Boston College	Rice	ACC	AAC
12/28/23	Alamo Bowl	Oklahoma	Arizona	Big 12	Pac-12
12/27/23	Duke’s Mayo Bowl	Miami (FL)	SMU	ACC	AAC
12/27/23	Military Bowl	Virginia Tech	Tulane	ACC	AAC
12/27/23	Holiday Bowl	Oregon State	NC State	Pac-12	ACC
12/27/23	Texas Bowl	Kansas State	Texas A&M	Big 12	SEC
12/26/23	Guaranteed Rate Bowl	West Virginia	Rutgers	Big 12	Big Ten
12/26/23	Quick Lane Bowl	Ohio	Minnesota	MAC	Big Ten
12/26/23	First Responder Bowl	UCF	Louisiana	Big 12	Sun Belt
12/23/23	Hawaii Bowl	UTSA	Air Force	AAC	Mountain West
12/23/23	Armed Forces Bowl	Texas Tech	Texas State	Big 12	Sun Belt
12/23/23	68 Ventures Bowl	USF	Coastal Carolina	AAC	Sun Belt
12/23/23	Birmingham Bowl	Troy	Memphis	Sun Belt	AAC
12/23/23	Las Vegas Bowl	Wisconsin	USC	Big Ten	Pac-12
12/23/23	Famous Idaho Potato Bowl	Toledo	UNLV	MAC	Mountain West
12/23/23	Camellia Bowl	San Jose State	South Alabama	Mountain West	Sun Belt
12/22/23	Gasparilla Bowl	Syracuse	Appalachian State	ACC	Sun Belt
12/21/23	Boca Raton Bowl	Northern Illinois	Georgia Southern	MAC	Sun Belt
12/19/23	Frisco Bowl	Eastern Michigan	Arkansas State	MAC	Sun Belt
12/18/23	Famous Toastery Bowl	Jacksonville State	Miami (OH)	Conference USA	MAC
12/16/23	Myrtle Beach Bowl	Western Kentucky	Marshall	Conference USA	Sun Belt
12/16/23	Independence Bowl	Iowa State	California	Big 12	Pac-12
12/16/23	New Orleans Bowl	New Mexico State	James Madison	Conference USA	Sun Belt
12/16/23	Celebration Bowl	Howard*	Florida A&M	MEAC	SWAC
12/16/23	LA Bowl	Fresno State	UCLA	Mountain West	Pac-12
12/16/23	New Mexico Bowl	Georgia State	Boise State	Sun Belt	Mountain West
12/16/23	Cure Bowl	Utah State	Old Dominion	Mountain West	Sun Belt

Rank	Team	Movelor	Conference	Average Final CFP Ranking	Make Playoff	National Championship	Expected Wins	Bowl Eligibility	Make Conference Championship	Win Conference
1	Michigan	45.0	Big Ten	2	93.4%	29.7%	12.9	100.0%	100.0%	92.7%
4	Georgia	41.3	SEC	2	88.8%	34.8%	12.5	100.0%	100.0%	45.8%
5	Oregon	41.1	Pac-12	4	69.7%	10.0%	11.7	100.0%	100.0%	73.1%
10	Florida State	33.0	ACC	4	67.8%	6.2%	12.7	100.0%	100.0%	71.5%
7	Texas	37.3	Big 12	6	23.3%	6.2%	11.8	100.0%	100.0%	82.1%
2	Ohio State	43.6	Big Ten	6	9.7%	4.4%	11.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Washington	32.0	Pac-12	6	26.2%	2.2%	12.3	100.0%	100.0%	26.9%
3	Alabama	42.8	SEC	6	21.1%	6.5%	11.5	100.0%	100.0%	54.2%
14	Missouri	29.7	SEC	9	0.0%	0.0%	10.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Penn State	40.6	Big Ten	10	0.0%	0.0%	10.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
20	Mississippi	26.2	SEC	11	0.0%	0.0%	10.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Oklahoma	32.9	Big 12	13	0.0%	0.0%	10.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	LSU	36.3	SEC	13	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Arizona	29.3	Pac-12	15	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
23	Louisville	24.7	ACC	17	0.0%	0.0%	10.3	100.0%	100.0%	28.5%
9	Notre Dame	36.3	FBS Independents	18	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
26	NC State	24.3	ACC	18	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
19	Oregon State	27.2	Pac-12	19	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
31	Oklahoma State	23.4	Big 12	20	0.0%	0.0%	9.2	100.0%	100.0%	17.9%
17	Tennessee	28.7	SEC	21	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
33	Iowa	23.1	Big Ten	22	0.0%	0.0%	10.1	100.0%	100.0%	7.3%
16	Clemson	29.2	ACC	22	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
43	Tulane	19.4	American	24	0.0%	0.0%	11.4	100.0%	100.0%	44.1%
24	SMU	24.5	American	25	0.0%	0.0%	10.6	100.0%	100.0%	55.9%
12	Kansas State	32.3	Big 12	25	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
60	Liberty	15.6	Conference USA	25	0.0%	0.0%	12.7	100.0%	100.0%	69.9%
63	Toledo	15.2	MAC	25	0.0%	0.0%	11.6	100.0%	100.0%	61.5%
30	James Madison	23.5	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	11.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
35	Troy	21.5	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	10.7	100.0%	100.0%	71.3%
80	Miami (OH)	10.7	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	10.4	100.0%	100.0%	38.5%
78	New Mexico State	11.0	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	10.3	100.0%	100.0%	30.1%
58	UNLV	15.7	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	9.5	100.0%	100.0%	50.3%
62	Memphis	15.4	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
82	Ohio	10.2	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	9.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
55	Appalachian State	16.0	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.3	100.0%	100.0%	28.7%
22	Kansas	25.3	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
27	Utah	24.2	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
34	West Virginia	22.1	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
47	UTSA	19.0	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
51	North Carolina	18.4	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
66	Air Force	14.0	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
70	Wyoming	13.0	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
73	Jacksonville State	11.5	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
79	Fresno State	10.9	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	8.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
49	Boise State	18.6	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.5	100.0%	100.0%	49.7%
18	Texas A&M	28.0	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
21	Iowa State	25.8	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
28	Maryland	23.7	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
32	Kentucky	23.4	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
36	Wisconsin	21.5	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
40	USC	20.6	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
41	UCLA	20.0	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
44	Duke	19.4	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
46	Miami (FL)	19.0	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
48	Northwestern	18.9	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
53	San Jose State	16.8	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
87	Bowling Green State	8.3	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
89	Coastal Carolina	7.6	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
95	Texas State	6.0	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
108	Western Kentucky	3.1	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	7.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
25	Auburn	24.4	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
37	UCF	21.3	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
39	Texas Tech	20.7	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
50	Virginia Tech	18.5	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
52	California	18.1	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
57	Rutgers	15.7	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
64	Georgia Tech	15.2	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
71	Syracuse	12.3	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
76	South Alabama	11.3	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
83	Louisiana	9.9	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
92	Rice	6.6	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
96	Georgia State	5.9	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
97	Old Dominion	5.7	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
100	Utah State	5.4	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
101	Marshall	4.7	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
102	Boston College	4.6	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
104	USF	4.4	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
106	Northern Illinois	3.6	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
107	Arkansas State	3.5	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
110	Georgia Southern	2.7	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
114	Eastern Michigan	0.8	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	6.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
88	Army	8.1	FBS Independents	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
90	Navy	7.3	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
29	TCU	23.6	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
38	Florida	20.7	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
42	South Carolina	19.7	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
45	Washington State	19.0	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
54	Illinois	16.5	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
56	Nebraska	15.9	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
65	BYU	14.0	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
67	Minnesota	13.5	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
68	Mississippi State	13.3	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
94	North Texas	6.2	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
113	Colorado State	1.0	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
118	Central Michigan	-1.4	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
123	Hawaii	-3.4	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	5.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
59	Arkansas	15.7	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
61	Purdue	15.4	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
69	Michigan State	13.0	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
77	Wake Forest	11.1	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
81	Houston	10.3	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
85	Colorado	9.2	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
93	San Diego State	6.4	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
99	Ball State	5.5	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
103	UAB	4.5	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
105	Florida Atlantic	4.0	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
112	Western Michigan	2.5	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
115	Tulsa	0.4	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
116	Middle Tennessee	0.1	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
125	New Mexico	-5.6	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
133	FIU	-13.5	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	4.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
72	Indiana	11.8	Big Ten	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
74	Baylor	11.5	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
75	Pitt	11.4	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
84	Virginia	9.9	ACC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
86	Cincinnati	8.7	Big 12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
91	Arizona State	7.1	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
111	Stanford	2.5	Pac-12	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
117	Southern Miss	0.1	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
119	UTEP	-1.5	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
120	Buffalo	-1.7	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
121	UConn	-2.5	FBS Independents	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
122	Sam Houston	-3.1	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
126	Charlotte	-5.9	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
128	Temple	-7.5	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
130	Louisiana Tech	-8.4	Conference USA	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
132	UMass	-12.2	FBS Independents	NR	0.0%	0.0%	3.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
98	East Carolina	5.6	American	NR	0.0%	0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
109	Vanderbilt	3.0	SEC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
124	Akron	-4.4	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
127	Nevada	-6.6	Mountain West	NR	0.0%	0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
129	Louisiana Monroe	-8.4	Sun Belt	NR	0.0%	0.0%	2.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
131	Kent State	-11.8	MAC	NR	0.0%	0.0%	1.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%