We promised yesterday we’d take a look at the rest of the New Year’s Six picture, and it’s a fun look to take. Missouri and Penn State both presumably have New Year’s Six spots on the line this weekend, with Iowa and Oklahoma State looking to crash the party while Mississippi holds slim hope of a backdoor entry. Tulane controls its fate, but SMU is a dangerous underdog, with Liberty next in line behind Tulane but Troy, Toledo, and SMU itself all hoping to move up and take the spot. Let’s run through every situation. Because we can.
(Updated bowl projections and playoff probabilities, through Tuesday’s rankings, are included at the bottom for archival purposes.)
The Group of Five
A task the College Football Playoff committee does, but does not seem to like, is choosing which Group of Five team to rank the highest. They don’t watch a lot of these teams’ games. They don’t usually think these teams are very good. Their primary purpose is to turn around from Saturday night’s games and set the top four in order before the selection show on Sunday. Maybe committee members love a good Liberty vs. SMU debate, but they sure haven’t seemed to put much thought into it over the final weekend in the past.
I say this because Boo Corrigan was asked this week whether there’s a path for SMU to make a New Year’s Six bowl, and he more or less said yes, but that doesn’t mean the committee would rank SMU ahead of Liberty with a win. It’s possible they would, and I do think the discussion would be brief (and therefore more uncertain), and they could be justified in doing so—beating Tulane on the road would be a really good win, and SMU is a really good Group of Five team. But based on SMU not being ranked yet, the committee traditionally not messing much with its 11th to 25th-place rankings between Tuesday and Sunday, and at least Kansas State standing between Liberty and SMU, the most likely thing for the committee to do is put Tulane in a NY6 bowl with a win, and to put Liberty in behind them, provided Liberty wins. There may be a path for SMU, but that path likely relies on Liberty losing.
(Our college football model disagrees with me on this. It believes SMU would probably jump Liberty with a win. But our model is built to portray a universe where the committee weighs each game equally, independent of timing, and that is for better or worse not how it’s done. This is a weakness of our model.)
So, who gets the Group of Five’s NY6 bid? Who’s the informal Group of Five national champion?
- If Tulane wins: Tulane
- If Tulane loses and Liberty wins: Probably Liberty, maybe SMU
- If Tulane and Liberty both lose: Probably SMU, maybe Toledo or Troy
There’s reason to hope for all five of these teams, and our model does think all five are in the committee’s top 28 (meaning SMU, Toledo, and Troy are the first three teams out in its estimate), but committees haven’t traditionally respected the Sun Belt, the committee should and does probably give the MAC more of a discount than our AAC-based model thinks it will (most mid-major precedent in the top 25 comes from the AAC, another weakness of our model), and the very human committee is unlikely to spend a ton of time on this piece of the puzzle, especially if they’ve just had to go to war with one another over whether to include Alabama or Texas as the playoff’s fourth team.
It’s probably Tulane, Liberty, or SMU. In that order.
The Orange Bowl
The Orange Bowl is the only NY6 bowl with any formal ties this year, though there are matters of geographic proximity which could send other teams to certain spots. Our understanding is that the top ACC team who isn’t in the playoff goes to the Orange Bowl, with “top ACC team” meaning either the champion or the highest-ranked option depending on whether or not the champion is in the playoff itself.
Louisville might move down with a bad loss to Florida State, but we don’t see a world where they fall past NC State. For one thing, they beat NC State head-to-head, and for another, Notre Dame’s between them and NC State and they beat Notre Dame head-to-head, and for a third, this committee loves raw win-loss record like none before it has, and for a fourth, the committee usually doesn’t mess too much with its 11th to 25th-place rankings between Tuesday and Sunday. So, there are three possibilities here on the ACC side:
- If Florida State wins and makes the playoff: Louisville
- If Florida State wins and doesn’t make the playoff: Florida State
- If Louisville wins: Louisville
On the other side, the ACC representative’s opponent will be the top-ranked non-playoff team from the Big Ten or SEC. That is most likely to be Ohio State, but an Alabama win over Georgia could change this, as could an Iowa win over Michigan or a slew of upsets which push Ohio State up into the playoff. There are 16 conference championship scenarios which affect this (the Pac-12 title game is pretty much irrelevant to who goes to the Orange Bowl), and we aren’t going to outline them all here, but options for this spot include Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan, and Alabama. We don’t see a way for all four of those teams to make the playoff, so with the maximum being three, we’d imagine one of those four will go to the Orange Bowl.
The Cotton Bowl, Peach Bowl, and Fiesta Bowl
The best way to think about these slots is probably to include the Orange Bowl and envision there being seven open spots to begin with, given one is going to the Group of Five. Each conference gets to fill one slot, and there are two at-large slots left after those are filled.
If favorites win, the seven representatives are clear: Louisville represents the ACC. Washington represents the Pac-12. Ohio State represents the Big Ten. Alabama represents the SEC. Texas represents the Big 12. The two at-large slots are filled by Missouri and Penn State.
Where Mississippi could backdoor an invitation is if Florida State beats Louisville but is excluded from the playoff, Texas also wins and is also excluded from the playoff, and other favorites win. This is extremely unlikely. The playoff would have to be something like Michigan, Washington/Oregon, Alabama, and Georgia. So, it’s unlikely, but for the sake of exploring all scenarios, this could theoretically happen. Maybe Tate Rodemaker also goes down for the year (God forbid) and maybe Texas only narrowly survives Oklahoma State.
If Mississippi were to sneak in, the downstream effect would be that LSU would move up into the Citrus Bowl and Tennessee would move into the ReliaQuest Bowl, formerly known as the Outback Bowl and also played on New Year’s Day.
More likely, Penn State and possibly Missouri are under threat of losing their at-large places thanks to upsets. Possibilities in each league of who could get the automatic bid:
- ACC: It’s only Florida State or Louisville, but if it’s Louisville who wins the ACC, Florida State would steal an at-large bid.
- Big Ten: If Ohio State somehow makes the playoff, Penn State would get the automatic bid, which wouldn’t change much. Less likely: If Iowa upsets Michigan, Iowa would get the automatic bid, and the shuffling would bump Michigan or Ohio State into the Big Ten’s at-large position.
- Big 12: If Texas were to lose, Oklahoma State would get the automatic bid, and Texas would likely still make a NY6 bowl themselves, taking one of the at-large spots. If Texas were to win and make the playoff, Oklahoma would get the automatic bid, but someone else would have to have been bumped into the ACC or SEC or Big Ten or Pac-12’s automatic bid from the expected playoff field, leaving effectively one fewer spot for Penn State or Mizzou.
- Pac-12: This one is straightforward. It is in all likelihood the loser of the game, though in the scenario in which the winner is excluded from the playoff (more likely for Oregon than Washington, but not particularly likely for either), the loser would likely eat an at-large spot and take it away from Penn State or Mizzou.
- SEC: In the doomsday scenario where favorites win except Alabama beats Georgia, if the committee leaves the SEC out of the playoff entirely, Georgia would take an at-large bid.
Here’s the most chaotic scenario, spelled out, to give an idea of the maximum number of teams who could get washed into lower bowls:
- Iowa beats Michigan.
- Alabama beats Georgia.
- Louisville beats Florida State.
- Oklahoma State beats Texas.
- (the Pac-12 Championship doesn’t really affect this)
In this scenario, we’d expect something like the following for each of the NY6 spots:
- Playoff: Alabama, Pac-12 champion, Georgia, Michigan
- ACC automatic bid: Louisville
- Big Ten automatic bid: Iowa
- Big 12 automatic bid: Oklahoma State
- SEC automatic bid: Missouri
- Pac-12 automatic bid: Washington/Oregon loser
- Group of Five automatic bid: Tulane/Liberty/SMU
- First at-large bid: Ohio State
- Second at-large bid: Florida State or Texas
Is Mizzou safe, then? Not really. If you flip the scenarios above such that Georgia beats Alabama, you could get something like the following:
- Playoff: Georgia, Pac-12 champion, Michigan, Ohio State
- ACC automatic bid: Louisville
- Big Ten automatic bid: Iowa
- Big 12 automatic bid: Oklahoma State
- SEC automatic bid: Alabama
- Pac-12 automatic bid: Washington/Oregon loser
- Group of Five automatic bid: Tulane/Liberty/SMU
- First at-large bid: Florida State
- Second at-large bid: Texas
So, the only things that are assured are that Georgia, Michigan, Washington, Oregon, Ohio State, Alabama, and Louisville all have a NY6 floor (we really doubt Alabama would drop past Mizzou with a loss to Georgia). All of Florida State, Texas, Missouri, and Penn State could conceivably drop out, while all of Iowa, Oklahoma State, and Mississippi could conceivably sneak in (the Mississippi thing remains a stretch).
Downstream Effects
We’re writing this in part for our Notre Dame friends hoping to see Brian Kelly and LSU in The Artist Formerly Known as the Outback Bowl (you take what you can get, I suppose). But the rest of the bowl bids stem from who goes to the Citrus Bowl and the ReliaQuest Bowl.
The Citrus Bowl will, by our understanding, take the top available Big Ten team and the top available SEC team. The ReliaQuest Bowl will, by our understanding, take the top available SEC team once the Citrus Bowl has been filled, and then take the top available team from the Big Ten, the ACC, and Notre Dame, with Notre Dame an option ahead of anyone but Florida State (ND has to have been within one win of the ACC team to jump them in priority).
By our understanding: If Mississippi somehow sneaks into the NY6, LSU will move up into the Citrus Bowl. If Missouri is bumped out of the NY6, Mississippi will drop from the Citrus Bowl to the ReliaQuest Bowl, and LSU will drop out of the ReliaQuest Bowl and into something else.
By our understanding: If Florida State is bumped out of the NY6 entirely, they will go to the ReliaQuest Bowl.
By our understanding: If Penn State is bumped out of the NY6, they will go to the Citrus Bowl and Iowa will be bumped down into ReliaQuest Bowl consideration, provided Iowa isn’t in the NY6 themselves by having upset Michigan.
By our understanding: If Florida State isn’t available, the ReliaQuest Bowl will probably choose Notre Dame over Iowa, even if Iowa remains ranked ahead of Notre Dame. We don’t believe there’s a requirement for the ReliaQuest Bowl to take the higher-ranked team (some say there isn’t even a requirement for the Citrus Bowl to take the higher-ranked team, but those also note that LSU just played in the Citrus Bowl last year, so the Citrus Bowl would probably prefer fresh blood in the form of Mississippi anyway). We would think the ReliaQuest Bowl would definitely take Notre Dame ahead of Wisconsin, but Kyle Bonagura at ESPN has Wisconsin in this spot and Notre Dame playing Oklahoma State in the Pop-Tarts Bowl, which confuses us. Maybe Bonagura knows something we don’t.
In short:
The only way the ReliaQuest Bowl isn’t Notre Dame vs. LSU is if one of the following four things happens:
- Alabama wins and the rest of the games go chalk, but the committee puts both Alabama and Georgia in the playoff, leaving Mississippi stealing a spot in the NY6 and LSU moving up into the Citrus Bowl.
- Michigan wins and at least one of Oklahoma State and Louisville wins, bumping Penn State down into the Citrus Bowl but leaving Iowa available for the ReliaQuest Bowl. Then, the ReliaQuest Bowl takes Iowa ahead of Notre Dame.
- Iowa, Louisville, and Oklahoma State all win, and the committee then ranks Texas ahead of Florida State, pushing Florida State down into the ReliaQuest Bowl.
- There’s something we’re totally missing here. Either the mysterious Bonagura Scenario™, or the hazy scenario some are referencing in which the Citrus Bowl can take an ACC team if the Orange Bowl takes a Big Ten team. If that happens, maybe Notre Dame’s in the Citrus Bowl? Making it Notre Dame vs. Mississippi in the Citrus Bowl and Iowa vs. LSU in the ReliaQuest Bowl? We aren’t seeing this projected by many mainstream outlets.
***
Post-rankings bowl projections and probabilities, for the archives:
| Date | Bowl | Team 1 | Team 2 | T1 Conference | T2 Conference |
| 1/1/24 | Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) | Michigan | Oregon | Big Ten | Pac-12 |
| 1/1/24 | Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) | Georgia | Florida State | SEC | ACC |
| 1/1/24 | Fiesta Bowl | Texas | Washington | Big 12 | Pac-12 |
| 1/1/24 | ReliaQuest Bowl | LSU | Notre Dame | SEC | FBS Independents |
| 1/1/24 | Citrus Bowl | Mississippi | Iowa | SEC | Big Ten |
| 12/30/23 | Orange Bowl | Louisville | Ohio State | ACC | Big Ten |
| 12/30/23 | Peach Bowl | Alabama | Penn State | SEC | Big Ten |
| 12/30/23 | Music City Bowl | Maryland | Auburn | Big Ten | SEC |
| 12/30/23 | Arizona Bowl | Bowling Green State | Wyoming | MAC | Mountain West |
| 12/29/23 | Cotton Bowl | Missouri | Liberty | SEC | Conference USA |
| 12/29/23 | Gator Bowl | Clemson | Tennessee | ACC | SEC |
| 12/29/23 | Sun Bowl | Duke | Utah | ACC | Pac-12 |
| 12/29/23 | Liberty Bowl | Kansas | Kentucky | Big 12 | SEC |
| 12/28/23 | Pinstripe Bowl | Georgia Tech | Northwestern | ACC | Big Ten |
| 12/28/23 | Pop-Tarts Bowl | North Carolina | Oklahoma State | ACC | Big 12 |
| 12/28/23 | Fenway Bowl | Boston College | Rice | ACC | AAC |
| 12/28/23 | Alamo Bowl | Oklahoma | Arizona | Big 12 | Pac-12 |
| 12/27/23 | Duke’s Mayo Bowl | Miami (FL) | SMU | ACC | AAC |
| 12/27/23 | Military Bowl | Virginia Tech | Tulane | ACC | AAC |
| 12/27/23 | Holiday Bowl | Oregon State | NC State | Pac-12 | ACC |
| 12/27/23 | Texas Bowl | Kansas State | Texas A&M | Big 12 | SEC |
| 12/26/23 | Guaranteed Rate Bowl | West Virginia | Rutgers | Big 12 | Big Ten |
| 12/26/23 | Quick Lane Bowl | Ohio | Minnesota | MAC | Big Ten |
| 12/26/23 | First Responder Bowl | UCF | Louisiana | Big 12 | Sun Belt |
| 12/23/23 | Hawaii Bowl | UTSA | Air Force | AAC | Mountain West |
| 12/23/23 | Armed Forces Bowl | Texas Tech | Texas State | Big 12 | Sun Belt |
| 12/23/23 | 68 Ventures Bowl | USF | Coastal Carolina | AAC | Sun Belt |
| 12/23/23 | Birmingham Bowl | Troy | Memphis | Sun Belt | AAC |
| 12/23/23 | Las Vegas Bowl | Wisconsin | USC | Big Ten | Pac-12 |
| 12/23/23 | Famous Idaho Potato Bowl | Toledo | UNLV | MAC | Mountain West |
| 12/23/23 | Camellia Bowl | San Jose State | South Alabama | Mountain West | Sun Belt |
| 12/22/23 | Gasparilla Bowl | Syracuse | Appalachian State | ACC | Sun Belt |
| 12/21/23 | Boca Raton Bowl | Northern Illinois | Georgia Southern | MAC | Sun Belt |
| 12/19/23 | Frisco Bowl | Eastern Michigan | Arkansas State | MAC | Sun Belt |
| 12/18/23 | Famous Toastery Bowl | Jacksonville State | Miami (OH) | Conference USA | MAC |
| 12/16/23 | Myrtle Beach Bowl | Western Kentucky | Marshall | Conference USA | Sun Belt |
| 12/16/23 | Independence Bowl | Iowa State | California | Big 12 | Pac-12 |
| 12/16/23 | New Orleans Bowl | New Mexico State | James Madison | Conference USA | Sun Belt |
| 12/16/23 | Celebration Bowl | Howard* | Florida A&M | MEAC | SWAC |
| 12/16/23 | LA Bowl | Fresno State | UCLA | Mountain West | Pac-12 |
| 12/16/23 | New Mexico Bowl | Georgia State | Boise State | Sun Belt | Mountain West |
| 12/16/23 | Cure Bowl | Utah State | Old Dominion | Mountain West | Sun Belt |
| Rank | Team | Movelor | Conference | Average Final CFP Ranking | Make Playoff | National Championship | Expected Wins | Bowl Eligibility | Make Conference Championship | Win Conference |
| 1 | Michigan | 45.0 | Big Ten | 2 | 93.4% | 29.7% | 12.9 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 92.7% |
| 4 | Georgia | 41.3 | SEC | 2 | 88.8% | 34.8% | 12.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 45.8% |
| 5 | Oregon | 41.1 | Pac-12 | 4 | 69.7% | 10.0% | 11.7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 73.1% |
| 10 | Florida State | 33.0 | ACC | 4 | 67.8% | 6.2% | 12.7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 71.5% |
| 7 | Texas | 37.3 | Big 12 | 6 | 23.3% | 6.2% | 11.8 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 82.1% |
| 2 | Ohio State | 43.6 | Big Ten | 6 | 9.7% | 4.4% | 11.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Washington | 32.0 | Pac-12 | 6 | 26.2% | 2.2% | 12.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 26.9% |
| 3 | Alabama | 42.8 | SEC | 6 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 11.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 54.2% |
| 14 | Missouri | 29.7 | SEC | 9 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Penn State | 40.6 | Big Ten | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Mississippi | 26.2 | SEC | 11 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Oklahoma | 32.9 | Big 12 | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | LSU | 36.3 | SEC | 13 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Arizona | 29.3 | Pac-12 | 15 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | Louisville | 24.7 | ACC | 17 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 28.5% |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 36.3 | FBS Independents | 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | NC State | 24.3 | ACC | 18 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | Oregon State | 27.2 | Pac-12 | 19 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Oklahoma State | 23.4 | Big 12 | 20 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 17.9% |
| 17 | Tennessee | 28.7 | SEC | 21 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 33 | Iowa | 23.1 | Big Ten | 22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 7.3% |
| 16 | Clemson | 29.2 | ACC | 22 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 43 | Tulane | 19.4 | American | 24 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 44.1% |
| 24 | SMU | 24.5 | American | 25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.6 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 55.9% |
| 12 | Kansas State | 32.3 | Big 12 | 25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 60 | Liberty | 15.6 | Conference USA | 25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12.7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 69.9% |
| 63 | Toledo | 15.2 | MAC | 25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.6 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 61.5% |
| 30 | James Madison | 23.5 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 35 | Troy | 21.5 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.7 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 71.3% |
| 80 | Miami (OH) | 10.7 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 38.5% |
| 78 | New Mexico State | 11.0 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 10.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 30.1% |
| 58 | UNLV | 15.7 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 50.3% |
| 62 | Memphis | 15.4 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 82 | Ohio | 10.2 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 9.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 55 | Appalachian State | 16.0 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 28.7% |
| 22 | Kansas | 25.3 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Utah | 24.2 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 34 | West Virginia | 22.1 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 47 | UTSA | 19.0 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 51 | North Carolina | 18.4 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 66 | Air Force | 14.0 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 70 | Wyoming | 13.0 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 73 | Jacksonville State | 11.5 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 79 | Fresno State | 10.9 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 8.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 49 | Boise State | 18.6 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 49.7% |
| 18 | Texas A&M | 28.0 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | Iowa State | 25.8 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Maryland | 23.7 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Kentucky | 23.4 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 36 | Wisconsin | 21.5 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 40 | USC | 20.6 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 41 | UCLA | 20.0 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 44 | Duke | 19.4 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 46 | Miami (FL) | 19.0 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 48 | Northwestern | 18.9 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 53 | San Jose State | 16.8 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 87 | Bowling Green State | 8.3 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 89 | Coastal Carolina | 7.6 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 95 | Texas State | 6.0 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 108 | Western Kentucky | 3.1 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Auburn | 24.4 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 37 | UCF | 21.3 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 39 | Texas Tech | 20.7 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 50 | Virginia Tech | 18.5 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 52 | California | 18.1 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 57 | Rutgers | 15.7 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 64 | Georgia Tech | 15.2 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 71 | Syracuse | 12.3 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 76 | South Alabama | 11.3 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 83 | Louisiana | 9.9 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 92 | Rice | 6.6 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 96 | Georgia State | 5.9 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 97 | Old Dominion | 5.7 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 100 | Utah State | 5.4 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 101 | Marshall | 4.7 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 102 | Boston College | 4.6 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 104 | USF | 4.4 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 106 | Northern Illinois | 3.6 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 107 | Arkansas State | 3.5 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 110 | Georgia Southern | 2.7 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 114 | Eastern Michigan | 0.8 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 6.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 88 | Army | 8.1 | FBS Independents | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 90 | Navy | 7.3 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | TCU | 23.6 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 38 | Florida | 20.7 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 42 | South Carolina | 19.7 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 45 | Washington State | 19.0 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 54 | Illinois | 16.5 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 56 | Nebraska | 15.9 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 65 | BYU | 14.0 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 67 | Minnesota | 13.5 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 68 | Mississippi State | 13.3 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 94 | North Texas | 6.2 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 113 | Colorado State | 1.0 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 118 | Central Michigan | -1.4 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 123 | Hawaii | -3.4 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 5.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 59 | Arkansas | 15.7 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 61 | Purdue | 15.4 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 69 | Michigan State | 13.0 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 77 | Wake Forest | 11.1 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 81 | Houston | 10.3 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 85 | Colorado | 9.2 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 93 | San Diego State | 6.4 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 99 | Ball State | 5.5 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 103 | UAB | 4.5 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 105 | Florida Atlantic | 4.0 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 112 | Western Michigan | 2.5 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 115 | Tulsa | 0.4 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 116 | Middle Tennessee | 0.1 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 125 | New Mexico | -5.6 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 133 | FIU | -13.5 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 72 | Indiana | 11.8 | Big Ten | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 74 | Baylor | 11.5 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 75 | Pitt | 11.4 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 84 | Virginia | 9.9 | ACC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 86 | Cincinnati | 8.7 | Big 12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 91 | Arizona State | 7.1 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 111 | Stanford | 2.5 | Pac-12 | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 117 | Southern Miss | 0.1 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 119 | UTEP | -1.5 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 120 | Buffalo | -1.7 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 121 | UConn | -2.5 | FBS Independents | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 122 | Sam Houston | -3.1 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 126 | Charlotte | -5.9 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 128 | Temple | -7.5 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 130 | Louisiana Tech | -8.4 | Conference USA | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 132 | UMass | -12.2 | FBS Independents | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 98 | East Carolina | 5.6 | American | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 109 | Vanderbilt | 3.0 | SEC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 124 | Akron | -4.4 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 127 | Nevada | -6.6 | Mountain West | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 129 | Louisiana Monroe | -8.4 | Sun Belt | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 131 | Kent State | -11.8 | MAC | NR | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
