Our Week 2 Bowl Projections are live, and you can also find them here . We’re using our college football model to construct these, including Movelor, the model’s rating system. For archival purposes, Movelor’s ratings and the model’s broader probabilities for this week are available below the projections.
A few observations from the bowl projections:
Our model still has the SEC pair and the Big Ten pair as the four likeliest College Football Playoff teams, despite only giving each a Playoff probability between 37% and 56%. It still has Utah as the Pac-12 favorite. It’s swapped Florida State in as the ACC favorite ahead of Clemson and Kansas State in as the Big 12 favorite ahead of TCU. In its other significant shift for the New Year’s Six bowls, Washington is now the fourth at-large New Year’s Six team in our model, with an average final CFP ranking behind only those of Tennessee, Penn State, and Notre Dame among those not slotted into the playoff or in as a conference champion. This spot previously belonged to LSU.
For this exercise, we’re taking the 82 FBS teams with the highest expected win totals and assigning those 82 to the bowls. This is relevant because Utah State and Florida each don’t appear in these projections despite each being more than 50% likely to make a bowl. To be clear: If Florida is bowl-eligible, it will be invited to a bowl. It will not be the odd man out.
New teams, in from last week: Iowa State, UCF, Western Michigan, New Mexico State, UNLV. Teams falling out: South Carolina, Florida, BYU, Ball State, North Texas.
Florida A&M is now the SWAC favorite rather than Jackson State.
Date Bowl Team 1 Team 2 T1 Conference T2 Conference 1/1/24 Sugar Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Georgia Ohio State SEC Big Ten 1/1/24 Rose Bowl (CFP Semifinal) Alabama Michigan SEC Big Ten 1/1/24 Fiesta Bowl Utah Kansas State Pac-12 Big 12 1/1/24 ReliaQuest Bowl Mississippi Minnesota SEC Big Ten 1/1/24 Citrus Bowl Arkansas Iowa SEC Big Ten 12/30/23 Orange Bowl Florida State Tennessee ACC SEC 12/30/23 Peach Bowl Penn State Notre Dame Big Ten FBS Independents 12/30/23 Music City Bowl Illinois Kentucky Big Ten SEC 12/30/23 Arizona Bowl Buffalo Wyoming MAC Mountain West 12/29/23 Cotton Bowl Washington Fresno State Pac-12 Mountain West 12/29/23 Gator Bowl Louisville Texas A&M ACC SEC 12/29/23 Sun Bowl Pitt UCLA ACC Pac-12 12/29/23 Liberty Bowl Texas Tech Mississippi State Big 12 SEC 12/28/23 Pinstripe Bowl Duke Maryland ACC Big Ten 12/28/23 Pop-Tarts Bowl Clemson Texas ACC Big 12 12/28/23 Fenway Bowl Syracuse Memphis ACC AAC 12/28/23 Alamo Bowl Oklahoma Oregon State Big 12 Pac-12 12/27/23 Duke’s Mayo Bowl NC State Auburn ACC SEC 12/27/23 Military Bowl Wake Forest Tulane ACC AAC 12/27/23 Holiday Bowl USC North Carolina Pac-12 ACC 12/27/23 Texas Bowl TCU LSU Big 12 SEC 12/26/23 Guaranteed Rate Bowl Cincinnati Nebraska Big 12 Big Ten 12/26/23 Quick Lane Bowl Toledo Michigan State MAC Big Ten 12/26/23 First Responder Bowl Iowa State SMU Big 12 AAC 12/23/23 Hawaii Bowl Air Force East Carolina Mountain West AAC 12/23/23 Armed Forces Bowl Houston Army Big 12 FBS Independents 12/23/23 68 Ventures Bowl UTEP Georgia State Conference USA Sun Belt 12/23/23 Birmingham Bowl Marshall UCF Sun Belt Big 12 12/23/23 Las Vegas Bowl Wisconsin Oregon Big Ten Pac-12 12/23/23 Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Eastern Michigan San Diego State MAC Mountain West 12/23/23 Camellia Bowl Western Michigan South Alabama MAC Sun Belt 12/22/23 Gasparilla Bowl Miami (FL) Navy ACC AAC 12/21/23 Boca Raton Bowl UAB Appalachian State AAC Sun Belt 12/19/23 Frisco Bowl Miami (OH) New Mexico State MAC Conference USA 12/18/23 Myrtle Beach Bowl Middle Tennessee Coastal Carolina Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Independence Bowl Oklahoma State Troy Big 12 Sun Belt 12/16/23 New Orleans Bowl Western Kentucky Louisiana Conference USA Sun Belt 12/16/23 Celebration Bowl North Carolina Central Florida A&M MEAC SWAC 12/16/23 LA Bowl UNLV Washington State Mountain West Pac-12 12/16/23 New Mexico Bowl UTSA Boise State AAC Mountain West 12/16/23 Bahamas Bowl Liberty Ohio Conference USA MAC 12/16/23 Cure Bowl Tulsa Georgia Southern AAC Sun Belt
Rank Team Movelor Conference Average Final CFP Ranking Make Playoff National Championship Expected Wins Bowl Eligibility Make Conference Championship Win Conference 1 Georgia 45.4 SEC 6 55.6% 21.2% 11.5 100.0% 67.1% 39.0% 2 Alabama 43.9 SEC 6 51.0% 18.1% 11.0 99.9% 68.6% 35.1% 3 Michigan 41.2 Big Ten 8 39.6% 11.9% 10.5 99.9% 34.4% 27.7% 4 Ohio State 41.0 Big Ten 9 37.3% 9.9% 10.3 99.5% 36.5% 28.4% 5 Tennessee 40.6 SEC 10 30.8% 9.6% 10.3 99.9% 28.9% 17.1% 6 Penn State 38.8 Big Ten 11 28.1% 6.6% 10.3 100.0% 26.8% 21.0% 7 Utah 33.5 Pac-12 17 16.1% 2.7% 9.6 98.5% 38.9% 23.0% 8 Kansas State 32.5 Big 12 21 11.3% 1.9% 9.6 96.7% 45.0% 26.1% 9 Florida State 32.2 ACC 13 23.1% 3.1% 10.4 99.7% 54.7% 34.4% 10 Oregon 31.1 Pac-12 20 11.4% 2.0% 9.1 97.4% 33.7% 18.0% 11 Notre Dame 30.8 FBS Independents 18 10.7% 1.6% 8.8 96.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12 Oregon State 30.8 Pac-12 21 11.5% 1.6% 9.5 98.3% 35.9% 18.0% 13 Washington 30.7 Pac-12 20 10.6% 1.5% 9.0 96.3% 32.1% 16.1% 14 USC 30.0 Pac-12 20 10.6% 1.5% 9.3 98.3% 38.6% 18.3% 15 Oklahoma 29.2 Big 12 24 8.1% 1.1% 9.2 95.0% 35.7% 18.1% 16 Texas 28.5 Big 12 NR 3.4% 0.6% 7.8 85.7% 25.3% 13.5% 17 LSU 28.5 SEC NR 1.2% 0.2% 7.4 84.5% 11.7% 2.9% 18 TCU 28.3 Big 12 NR 0.3% 0.1% 7.4 82.4% 21.3% 11.4% 19 Clemson 27.6 ACC NR 2.4% 0.4% 8.0 89.4% 17.2% 10.1% 20 Iowa 27.4 Big Ten NR 2.8% 0.5% 8.4 92.2% 32.6% 7.2% 21 Minnesota 26.8 Big Ten NR 2.2% 0.5% 7.7 87.1% 19.9% 5.2% 22 Tulane 26.5 American NR 1.7% 0.3% 10.6 99.4% 59.4% 42.4% 23 Texas Tech 26.0 Big 12 NR 0.5% 0.1% 6.9 73.0% 19.9% 10.0% 24 Mississippi 25.6 SEC NR 1.3% 0.3% 7.0 79.7% 4.1% 0.9% 25 Fresno State 25.5 Mountain West NR 1.0% 0.2% 11.2 99.9% 74.3% 47.6% 26 Mississippi State 24.9 SEC NR 1.1% 0.2% 7.4 81.7% 6.1% 1.4% 27 Louisville 24.8 ACC NR 5.6% 0.4% 9.2 96.3% 44.7% 19.9% 28 Arkansas 24.7 SEC NR 1.1% 0.2% 7.5 85.8% 4.6% 1.1% 29 Wisconsin 24.2 Big Ten NR 1.5% 0.2% 7.7 85.6% 20.5% 4.0% 30 Illinois 24.2 Big Ten NR 1.1% 0.2% 7.5 83.1% 17.3% 3.5% 31 Kentucky 24.1 SEC NR 0.8% 0.2% 7.0 80.6% 1.6% 0.8% 32 Texas A&M 23.0 SEC NR 0.7% 0.1% 6.8 74.4% 2.6% 0.6% 33 Pitt 22.4 ACC NR 1.7% 0.1% 7.1 74.5% 17.1% 8.5% 34 Michigan State 22.2 Big Ten NR 0.4% 0.1% 6.0 58.6% 1.0% 0.6% 35 Florida 22.0 SEC NR 0.2% 0.0% 5.6 51.3% 1.3% 0.3% 36 Duke 21.8 ACC NR 2.7% 0.2% 7.8 87.5% 15.7% 6.8% 37 Auburn 21.5 SEC NR 0.4% 0.0% 6.4 67.9% 2.4% 0.6% 38 North Carolina 21.5 ACC NR 1.9% 0.2% 8.1 89.3% 16.6% 7.0% 39 Iowa State 21.4 Big 12 NR 0.6% 0.1% 6.3 62.2% 7.3% 3.5% 40 Nebraska 21.3 Big Ten NR 0.1% 0.0% 6.6 72.7% 5.0% 1.0% 41 Maryland 21.3 Big Ten NR 0.3% 0.0% 6.9 79.4% 1.3% 0.7% 42 Washington State 21.0 Pac-12 NR 1.2% 0.1% 7.5 85.7% 9.7% 3.4% 43 Air Force 20.9 Mountain West NR 0.4% 0.1% 10.1 98.9% 60.4% 28.9% 44 Baylor 20.4 Big 12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 43.8% 6.9% 2.9% 45 Cincinnati 20.2 Big 12 NR 0.9% 0.1% 7.1 74.7% 12.5% 4.5% 46 UCLA 20.2 Pac-12 NR 0.6% 0.0% 7.6 88.0% 7.7% 2.3% 47 Wake Forest 20.0 ACC NR 1.0% 0.2% 7.0 76.1% 9.1% 4.2% 48 Oklahoma State 19.4 Big 12 NR 0.5% 0.1% 6.8 69.6% 8.6% 3.2% 49 South Carolina 19.1 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 42.4% 0.7% 0.1% 50 West Virginia 18.8 Big 12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 5.4 47.1% 6.1% 2.2% 51 Syracuse 18.6 ACC NR 0.9% 0.1% 7.0 74.6% 8.5% 3.3% 52 Purdue 18.6 Big Ten NR 0.1% 0.0% 4.7 34.0% 4.7% 0.8% 53 James Madison 18.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 54 UCF 17.5 Big 12 NR 0.2% 0.0% 6.0 57.7% 3.4% 1.5% 55 East Carolina 17.2 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.7 86.3% 25.1% 12.1% 56 NC State 17.0 ACC NR 0.5% 0.0% 6.7 70.6% 7.6% 3.1% 57 Missouri 16.9 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 42.3% 0.5% 0.1% 58 Memphis 16.7 American NR 0.1% 0.0% 8.7 92.7% 28.8% 13.1% 59 Kansas 16.5 Big 12 NR 0.2% 0.0% 5.5 47.6% 3.1% 1.3% 60 Troy 16.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.1 86.7% 41.6% 25.1% 61 Boise State 16.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 77.6% 23.8% 10.8% 62 BYU 15.9 Big 12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 5.2 40.5% 2.4% 0.9% 63 UTSA 15.9 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 80.0% 24.1% 10.2% 64 Houston 15.8 Big 12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 5.8 52.8% 2.6% 1.0% 65 Western Kentucky 15.7 Conference USA NR 0.1% 0.0% 9.6 98.0% 82.7% 57.4% 66 SMU 15.2 American NR 0.1% 0.0% 7.9 91.0% 27.9% 10.8% 67 California 14.6 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 37.5% 1.1% 0.3% 68 Arizona 14.3 Pac-12 NR 0.1% 0.0% 5.3 45.0% 1.9% 0.7% 69 Miami (FL) 13.7 ACC NR 0.2% 0.0% 6.5 69.1% 4.0% 1.5% 70 Army 12.6 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.6% 0.0% 0.0% 71 Toledo 12.1 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.7 93.1% 41.3% 26.4% 72 Appalachian State 11.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.9 71.1% 26.7% 13.1% 73 Marshall 11.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 70.4% 24.0% 10.9% 74 Wyoming 10.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.4 85.6% 13.2% 5.3% 75 Indiana 10.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 15.3% 0.0% 0.0% 76 UAB 10.8 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 65.4% 8.0% 2.9% 77 Virginia Tech 10.7 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 40.3% 2.1% 0.6% 78 Navy 10.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 60.3% 13.0% 4.3% 79 Louisiana 10.5 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 81.7% 24.6% 12.6% 80 Georgia State 9.9 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.8 70.3% 15.6% 8.7% 81 South Alabama 9.6 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 64.9% 15.0% 7.8% 82 Georgia Tech 9.6 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.5 26.1% 0.5% 0.2% 83 Arizona State 8.7 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 84 San Diego State 8.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 67.1% 8.2% 2.7% 85 Virginia 8.0 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.0 22.3% 2.1% 0.4% 86 Rutgers 7.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 21.2% 0.0% 0.0% 87 Ohio 7.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.1 76.2% 39.5% 17.8% 88 Stanford 7.4 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.8 15.2% 0.2% 0.0% 89 Georgia Southern 7.4 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.3 62.1% 15.0% 6.4% 90 Liberty 7.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 8.4 92.0% 47.9% 18.4% 91 Coastal Carolina 7.0 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.0 58.3% 15.8% 6.6% 92 Tulsa 6.5 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 54.6% 4.6% 1.6% 93 Utah State 6.5 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.7 53.3% 6.0% 1.9% 94 Western Michigan 6.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 55.0% 15.0% 8.8% 95 Southern Miss 6.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.5 48.6% 12.3% 5.6% 96 Jacksonville State 6.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 7.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 97 Buffalo 5.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.5 65.9% 24.6% 11.7% 98 Vanderbilt 5.7 SEC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 10.1% 0.0% 0.0% 99 Eastern Michigan 5.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.9 73.6% 16.5% 8.8% 100 Florida Atlantic 5.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.1 40.6% 3.8% 1.3% 101 Northwestern 4.9 Big Ten NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 3.3% 0.1% 0.0% 102 North Texas 4.2 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 38.5% 1.6% 0.5% 103 UTEP 3.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.4 66.0% 23.3% 9.3% 104 UNLV 3.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 57.2% 5.3% 0.9% 105 San Jose State 3.1 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.3 24.0% 3.1% 0.8% 106 Middle Tennessee 3.1 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 6.1 61.1% 26.4% 9.3% 107 Ball State 2.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.3 44.6% 10.9% 4.8% 108 Central Michigan 2.6 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 34.8% 9.5% 4.6% 109 Miami (OH) 2.2 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.8 52.9% 13.9% 5.7% 110 USF 1.7 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.6 31.0% 2.3% 0.6% 111 Boston College 1.1 ACC NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.9 7.8% 0.1% 0.0% 112 Colorado State 1.0 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.7 33.3% 2.4% 0.6% 113 Northern Illinois 0.8 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.4 45.9% 6.9% 3.2% 114 UConn 0.8 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.0 38.0% 0.0% 0.0% 115 Kent State 0.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.9 36.1% 13.3% 5.1% 116 Old Dominion 0.3 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 16.4% 2.9% 0.9% 117 Louisiana Monroe -0.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.8 32.7% 2.9% 1.1% 118 New Mexico State -0.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.9 57.1% 14.7% 4.4% 119 Texas State -1.1 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 5.2 41.3% 3.1% 1.2% 120 Temple -1.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.4 25.1% 0.9% 0.2% 121 Colorado -2.0 Pac-12 NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.6 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 122 Sam Houston -2.6 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 123 Rice -2.6 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 14.3% 0.5% 0.1% 124 Hawaii -2.9 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 4.1 23.4% 2.3% 0.3% 125 Bowling Green State -3.7 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.7 16.4% 4.2% 1.7% 126 Nevada -3.8 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 16.3% 0.9% 0.2% 127 Akron -5.4 MAC NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.6 15.3% 4.6% 1.3% 128 Arkansas State -6.7 Sun Belt NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.3 10.8% 0.6% 0.2% 129 Louisiana Tech -6.9 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.9 15.9% 4.7% 1.2% 130 Charlotte -9.1 American NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.5 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 131 New Mexico -12.3 Mountain West NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.8 6.4% 0.0% 0.0% 132 UMass -15.6 FBS Independents NR 0.0% 0.0% 3.1 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 133 FIU -15.7 Conference USA NR 0.0% 0.0% 2.0 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Rank Team Movelor Conference Projected Wins Conference Championship 1 South Dakota State 22.5 MVFC 9.7 54.1% 2 Montana State 16.3 Big Sky 8.7 23.9% 3 North Dakota State 15.4 MVFC 9.0 19.8% 4 Incarnate Word 13.8 Southland 9.7 86.4% 5 UC Davis 13.3 Big Sky 8.7 30.1% 6 Sacramento State 11.2 Big Sky 8.3 14.3% 7 Furman 8.8 Southern 8.8 45.9% 8 Montana 8.2 Big Sky 8.3 9.6% 9 Northern Iowa 7.6 MVFC 6.5 6.7% 10 Weber State 7.4 Big Sky 7.4 16.1% 11 North Dakota 6.0 MVFC 7.2 5.0% 12 Samford 5.8 Southern 8.3 35.4% 13 Southern Illinois 4.4 MVFC 7.2 5.8% 14 Idaho 3.5 Big Sky 6.7 5.7% 15 Youngstown State 3.1 MVFC 6.8 5.4% 16 William & Mary 2.3 CAA 8.3 23.4% 17 Richmond 2.3 CAA 7.0 18.9% 18 Holy Cross 1.1 Patriot 8.3 71.9% 19 Rhode Island -0.2 CAA 7.3 13.8% 20 Southeast Missouri State -0.4 Big South-OVC 7.5 40.1% 21 Austin Peay -0.4 UAC 6.7 31.4% 22 Missouri State -0.6 MVFC 5.2 1.4% 23 Southeastern Louisiana -0.8 Southland 7.3 12.4% 24 Elon -1.9 CAA 6.4 8.4% 25 Yale -2.1 Ivy 7.4 31.4% 26 Mercer -2.1 Southern 7.1 9.6% 27 Central Arkansas -2.7 UAC 6.2 21.8% 28 New Hampshire -2.8 CAA 7.1 9.0% 29 Delaware -2.8 CAA 7.3 14.8% 30 Illinois State -3.0 MVFC 6.6 1.2% 31 Princeton -3.5 Ivy 7.3 25.8% 32 Jackson State -4.4 SWAC 8.8 22.8% 33 South Dakota -5.0 MVFC 5.2 0.5% 34 Chattanooga -5.8 Southern 5.2 5.3% 35 UT Martin -6.3 Big South-OVC 6.3 19.2% 36 Gardner-Webb -6.7 Big South-OVC 5.9 23.5% 37 Albany -6.8 CAA 6.3 4.4% 38 Abilene Christian -7.1 UAC 5.5 11.5% 39 Florida A&M -7.3 SWAC 9.6 47.5% 40 Villanova -7.7 CAA 5.8 2.9% 41 Stephen F. Austin -7.7 UAC 6.1 11.9% 42 Dartmouth -8.2 Ivy 6.0 13.5% 43 Harvard -8.3 Ivy 5.6 11.5% 44 Saint Francis (PA) -8.8 NEC 7.0 54.2% 45 Eastern Washington -9.1 Big Sky 3.6 0.2% 46 Southern Utah -9.4 UAC 4.7 8.4% 47 Penn -9.4 Ivy 6.3 9.9% 48 Towson -9.5 CAA 5.0 1.7% 49 Kennesaw State -9.9 FCS Independents 5.8 0.0% 50 Western Carolina -10.4 Southern 4.8 2.3% 51 Northern Arizona -10.5 Big Sky 3.1 0.1% 52 Columbia -10.6 Ivy 6.0 6.6% 53 North Carolina Central -10.7 MEAC 7.3 46.2% 54 Maine -10.9 CAA 4.3 1.0% 55 Fordham -10.9 Patriot 7.1 21.1% 56 Eastern Kentucky -11.5 UAC 3.9 6.1% 57 Campbell -11.8 CAA 4.0 0.4% 58 St. Thomas -12.6 Pioneer 8.0 40.4% 59 Monmouth -13.4 CAA 4.8 0.8% 60 Tarleton -13.8 UAC 5.4 3.4% 61 North Carolina A&T -13.9 CAA 4.1 0.5% 62 Howard -14.4 MEAC 6.5 36.3% 63 North Alabama -14.4 UAC 4.2 3.0% 64 Wofford -14.5 Southern 3.9 0.9% 65 Portland State -14.9 Big Sky 3.9 0.0% 66 Bryant -15.0 Big South-OVC 5.0 6.8% 67 East Tennessee State -15.3 Southern 3.9 0.4% 68 Lindenwood -15.4 Big South-OVC 5.2 4.2% 69 Utah Tech -15.9 UAC 2.6 2.4% 70 Indiana State -16.3 MVFC 2.3 0.0% 71 Duquesne -17.9 NEC 5.6 16.7% 72 The Citadel -17.9 Southern 3.5 0.2% 73 Cal Poly -18.4 Big Sky 3.4 0.0% 74 Cornell -18.7 Ivy 4.2 1.1% 75 Merrimack -18.8 NEC 6.3 12.7% 76 Tennessee Tech -19.7 Big South-OVC 3.8 1.9% 77 Alcorn State -19.8 SWAC 5.6 7.8% 78 Southern -19.9 SWAC 5.9 8.1% 79 Prairie View A&M -20.0 SWAC 6.1 8.1% 80 Dayton -20.7 Pioneer 6.9 13.8% 81 Charleston Southern -20.7 Big South-OVC 4.1 1.8% 82 Northwestern State -20.8 Southland 4.1 0.4% 83 Nicholls -20.9 Southland 3.3 0.2% 84 Stony Brook -21.0 CAA 2.1 0.0% 85 Tennessee State -21.0 Big South-OVC 4.9 1.5% 86 Idaho State -21.0 Big Sky 1.4 0.0% 87 Northern Colorado -21.4 Big Sky 1.6 0.0% 88 Butler -21.5 Pioneer 6.9 11.3% 89 Hampton -21.6 CAA 3.7 0.0% 90 Western Illinois -21.9 MVFC 1.5 0.0% 91 McNeese -22.0 Southland 3.8 0.4% 92 Morgan State -22.3 MEAC 4.8 10.1% 93 Lafayette -22.4 Patriot 4.6 2.9% 94 VMI -22.5 Southern 3.2 0.1% 95 Eastern Illinois -22.8 Big South-OVC 4.2 1.0% 96 Davidson -23.0 Pioneer 7.0 13.0% 97 San Diego -23.1 Pioneer 6.1 12.5% 98 Brown -23.1 Ivy 2.2 0.4% 99 Central Connecticut State -23.4 NEC 5.7 6.5% 100 Murray State -24.0 MVFC 1.8 0.0% 101 LIU -24.1 NEC 3.9 5.6% 102 Texas Southern -24.5 SWAC 3.7 1.0% 103 Texas A&M-Commerce -25.0 Southland 2.6 0.1% 104 Alabama State -25.0 SWAC 6.0 0.7% 105 Alabama A&M -25.3 SWAC 5.2 1.4% 106 Colgate -25.8 Patriot 3.1 1.4% 107 Lehigh -26.6 Patriot 3.0 1.2% 108 Sacred Heart -26.6 NEC 3.7 3.2% 109 South Carolina State -27.5 MEAC 3.4 4.5% 110 Lamar -27.8 Southland 3.0 0.1% 111 Bucknell -28.3 Patriot 3.4 0.9% 112 Bethune-Cookman -28.4 SWAC 3.7 0.4% 113 Drake -28.5 Pioneer 4.9 4.0% 114 Grambling State -29.1 SWAC 3.9 1.4% 115 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -29.7 SWAC 3.7 0.9% 116 Georgetown -30.2 Patriot 3.9 0.6% 117 Stonehill -30.6 NEC 2.8 1.1% 118 Valparaiso -30.6 Pioneer 4.7 1.7% 119 Delaware State -31.3 MEAC 2.6 2.0% 120 Stetson -31.6 Pioneer 5.1 2.3% 121 Houston Christian -32.1 Southland 2.8 0.0% 122 Robert Morris -32.2 Big South-OVC 2.0 0.1% 123 Norfolk State -34.0 MEAC 1.7 1.0% 124 Morehead State -34.5 Pioneer 3.7 0.6% 125 Mississippi Valley State -35.4 SWAC 2.1 0.0% 126 Marist -36.9 Pioneer 2.9 0.4% 127 Wagner -40.9 NEC 1.5 0.0% 128 Presbyterian -49.2 Pioneer 1.2 0.0%
