Today’s Best Bets: What Got Us Here

Updates:

MLB moneylines should start tomorrow.

MLB futures should start for the year on Monday.

We’ll shore up our college basketball futures leverage tomorrow or Saturday. The approach depends on Illinois State’s performance tonight (go Redbirds).


New Mexico vs. Tulsa

We’re sticking with the Mountain West and the Big Ten this weekend. As long as they aren’t too far from where kenpom has them.

Pick: New Mexico –3 (–105). 3.22 units to win 3.07.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –559.14 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,113 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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