Another loss last night.
UC Davis at UC San Diego
Nothing fancy here. It’s close to the kenpom line. It favors the home team a little bit extra. The home team’s the better team. It’s not a safe play, but on a thin night, it’s the best we can find.
Pick: UC San Diego –6 (–110). 4.56 units to win 4.15.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –577.12 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,067 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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