Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,785 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,617 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
No new futures today, though we do have that relevant big one pending on Utah Valley.
UAB @ Vanderbilt
UAB has been a consistent favorite of the public’s lately. Make of that what you will. Jelly Walker is very well-known.
Pick: Vanderbilt +1.5 (-110). Low confidence.
Cincinnati @ Utah Valley
It’s a tough situation for Cincinnati, playing at altitude on the road, but they’re the better team. Also: Our buddy Jamie has a great NIT bracket going, and he has Cincinnati and Vanderbilt winning, so we’re going to trust him here. We haven’t had a very good March, and he has, and sometimes you have to go with that.
Pick: Cincinnati +1.5 (-110). Low confidence.
