Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,637 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Minnesota @ Rutgers
I know Rutgers just played in a 175-point game, but their four before that were all under 135, and one of those four went to overtime. Minnesota is a low-scoring, slow-paced team too. Maybe Rutgers comes out gangbusters and the Gophers roll over, but that’s still likelier to look like Minnesota in the 40s than Rutgers in the 70s.
Pick: Under 124.5 (-110). Low confidence.
Seton Hall @ St. John’s
We don’t think very highly of St. John’s, but we also don’t think very highly of Seton Hall, and if water’s going to find its level tonight in the Big East, it looks like a Johnnies win.
Pick: St. John’s +1 (-105). Low confidence.
