Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1.6% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,455 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.9% across 1,603 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. For futures bets (in both sports and politics) and motorsports bets, odds are taken from the better option between Bovada and BetOnline as our best approximation of the Vegas consensus, which isn’t currently/accurately available online. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
No World Cup future today, but we’ll have at least one before Friday’s games, and possibly as many as three. College basketball for the evening:
Arizona State @ SMU
I’m not sure Arizona State is getting enough credit as a defensive team yet. These guys are tough. And with SMU bad this year, tonight could be ugly.
Pick: Under 136 (-110). Low confidence.
Weber State @ Cal Baptist
Weber State’s shooting defense has been terrible, but Cal Baptist hasn’t been able to buy a bucket. Maybe there’s some stout defender out tonight, but from what we’re seeing, this is a chance to aim for the 120’s.
Pick: Under 133.5 (-110). Low confidence.
