Split decision yesterday. Which is a net loss, but sounds better than saying, “Net loss yesterday.”
Iowa State at Kansas State
K-State’s in a weird place, potentially about to fall all the way off. This is a trappy spot for Iowa State, though, and I’ll never call Bramlage a preferable place to play. K-State’s recent slower tempo is definitely related to their opposition, but it’s not like Iowa State loves to run. We’ll go under here against a big number.
Pick: Under 155 (–110). 3.48 units to win 3.16.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –599.60 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,055 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
**
