Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,782 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,617 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
No new futures today.
North Texas @ Oklahoma State
I’m worried about North Texas’s ability to make threes against Oklahoma State at Gallagher-Iba, and I’m worried that Oklahoma State’s hardly managed a point per possession in the NIT so far against defenses much worse than North Texas’s. This should be a crawl of a game. We’re going to chase a low under here.
Pick: Under 121.5 (-110). Low confidence.
Wisconsin @ Oregon
Wisconsin has exceeded expectations so far this tournament, but so has Oregon, and from what we’ve seen on the court, both teams want it. Oregon’s shorthanded, but they have enough talent that they’ve weathered that just fine so far. I still think they’re the better team, and when you add in home court advantage, that puts them past 2.5.
Pick: Oregon -2.5 (-110). Low confidence.
