Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of –0.8% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 6,873 published picks, not including pending futures; and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.2% across 2,268 completed high and medium-confidence picks. The low confidence picks are the problem. Most of our picks are in the low confidence category.
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come from the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. We use kenpom heavily to make college basketball picks.
Active markets today: Only college basketball.
Single-day college basketball bets: On the season, we’re 92–70–1 and we’re down 4.88 units. We’re currently mostly betting moneyline favorites, so our win–loss record doesn’t line up with our net loss.
Boston College @ Florida State
Maryland @ Wisconsin
TCU @ Texas Tech
All three of these follow the same script, and we don’t have much to say about them individually. A team that’s been playing a little poorly gets a home game against an opponent they should beat on even a neutral floor. This is how we’ve clawed back at our deficit these last few weeks. Here’s hoping we can get a sweep and pull within four units tonight.
Pick: Florida State to win –190. Low confidence.
Pick: Wisconsin to win –320. Low confidence.
Pick: Texas Tech to win –245. Low confidence.
