Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,669 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
St. John’s @ DePaul
This may be foolish beyond belief. St. John’s is a mess right now. We assume Andre Curbelo’s back tonight, but we don’t know if he is, and we don’t know if it’s a good or bad thing to have him gone. Still, DePaul is just so bad, and there haven’t been signs of life lately. At least St. John’s has shown something within the last three weeks.
Pick: St. John’s -1.5 (-110). Low confidence.
Michigan @ Wisconsin
Is Michigan pulling it together? We aren’t sure it matters. Wisconsin might be mediocre, but they’ve made a habit so far of bouncing back once they’re written off. We like them to break the home losing trend before it becomes a real streak.
Pick: Wisconsin -1 (-110). Low confidence.
