Not a terrible Saturday, but not a good one. 5–4 last week on the college football picks. Our opening week college basketball moneyline underdog effort did not work.
Philadelphia at Green Bay
The late movement here seems overly aggressive. We’ll back the Pack.
Pick: Green Bay +1 (–115). 1.82 units to win 1.58.
Columbia at UConn
Columbia’s not a pushover, but after a mildly disappointing opener, UConn won on Friday by 63 points. It’s fair to wonder if we’re seeing more early-season urgency from Dan Hurley after the way last year went.
Pick: UConn –33 (–105). 1.67 units to win 1.59.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –480.33 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 891 single-game markets plus four completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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