Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1.5% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,568 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.9% across 1,605 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Purdue @ Ohio State
Let’s not overthink this one. Two great offenses, two suspect defenses, close game which will hopefully produce a dramatic ending.
Pick: Over 139.5 (-110). Low confidence.
UAB @ FAU
FAU’s the better team, they can play multiple kinds of games, and they should be able to keep UAB off the glass. They remain under the radar, even if they’re a cult favorite. UAB is on the radar. To an unearned extent.
Pick: FAU -2 (-110). Low confidence.
