Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of –0.7% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 6,687 published picks, not including pending futures; and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.2% across 2,268 completed high and medium-confidence picks. The low confidence picks are the problem. Most of our picks are in the low confidence category.
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. We use Movelor heavily to make college football picks. We use kenpom heavily to make college basketball picks. We use FPI heavily to make NFL futures picks, but not spreads and totals.
Active markets today: College basketball. We’ll do this week’s NFL futures…I mean, it should really be tomorrow, but I’m not going to promise we’ll do the thing we should do.
Single-day college basketball bets: On the season, we’re 41–49. We’re down 13.41 units. We did win both our plays last night.
Washington @ Cal
We get that Cal is feisty. We get that Washington is mediocre. But we still don’t buy that Washington should be a road dog against California right now.
Pick: Washington to win +123. Low confidence.
Oregon @ Colorado
We also don’t buy Oregon staying undefeated any longer in Pac-12 play. This feels obvious. We never seen that kind of consistency out of this program.
Pick: Colorado to win –265. Low confidence.
