Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,641 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Michigan @ Northwestern
Northwestern’s been scoring a lot more these last few weeks, and the Wildcats’ last game against Michigan tied for its fastest-tempo game of the year. These guys might be getting fatigued, but that should affect defense just as much as offense, if not more.
Pick: Over 137 (-130). Low confidence.
Loyola Marymount @ BYU
BYU’s been snakebit in WCC play, all its losses coming by single digits while all its wins have come by double digits. LMU, meanwhile, has turned it on lately, but that came a little out of nowhere, which raises suspicions it might just be a flash.
Pick: BYU -4.5 (-116). Low confidence.
