Well, there are finally NIT championship odds widely available, and…we don’t see any value. So, no futures again today. We’ll figure out our Sweet Sixteen hedging situation tomorrow.
Saint Joseph’s at New Mexico
Kenpom narrowly likes UNM here, and while both the A-10 and the Mountain West have outperformed kenpom’s expectations more often than not this postseason, the Mountain West has done it more often. Also. Saint Joe’s has played great on the road in both its NIT games. But The Pit has been noisy and New Mexico’s blown teams out.
Pick: New Mexico –11 (–105). 3.89 units to win 3.70.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –565.88 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,107 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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