Another loss last night. Not a great college basketball performance so far.
Utah State at Colorado State
This just isn’t really how the Mountain West works. Home court advantage is a big deal there. So is regression to the mean. That 42-point Utah State win last time obviously looms large. But this line is making too much of that.
Pick: Colorado State to win +180. 1.60 units to win 2.88.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –553.64 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,044 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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