Tonight could be great. It could also put our MLB futures portfolio on its heels and convince us to pivot from our NFL spread strategy that worked so well over the last year and a half.
World Series
We just need the Blue Jays to win one more game. After that, we’ll need them to win another, but the big thing right now is getting the series back to Toronto.
Pick: Toronto +2.5 Games –375. 39.08 units to win 10.42.
Washington at Kansas City
As we’ve said before, we did go through a stretch last year where blindly trusting FPI on primetime football games went poorly. We came out of that and it was a great year. But we’re nervous right now. Lot of pressure on tonight.
Pick: Washington +10.5 (–110). 4.40 units to win 4.00.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –465.20 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 864 single-game markets plus three completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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