Today’s Best Bets: The Better Team

Not our best result yesterday. We’ll blame the walk-ons.


Syracuse at North Carolina

We were expecting this line to be bigger, given Syracuse’s defensive struggles and the fact that, while both teams are traveling, UNC gets the benefit of traveling back home. So, we’ll happily take this. Come what may.

Pick: North Carolina –11 (–115). 3.60 units to win 3.13.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –603.08 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,056 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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