Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1.5% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,475 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +2.9% across 1,605 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Lines for these come from the Vegas consensus or the closest approximation available at the time picks are written, unless otherwise noted. For futures bets (in both sports and politics) and motorsports bets, odds are taken from the better option between Bovada and BetOnline as our best approximation of the Vegas consensus, which isn’t currently/accurately available online. KenPom is heavily used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Two college basketball plays for the evening:
Presbyterian @ South Carolina
South Carolina’s having a bad year, but Presbyterian’s one of those teams that keeps getting worse, and there’s no clear injury reason (at least that I’m seeing) why this line shouldn’t be in the double digits.
Pick: South Carolina -9 (-110). Low confidence.
Mississippi State @ Minnesota
Minnesota is bad. This is true. But Mississippi State is inefficient offensively and plays some very slow basketball, a pace the Gophers should be happy to oblige. One team should wind up in the 50’s here.
Pick: Under 126.5 (-110). Low confidence.
