All of our interests lost last night.
MLB futures are still in a good spot, though.
Better if the Mariners win.
NLCS
Nothing new here. The value’s good. We are vulnerable to scenarios where the Dodgers win. Given how likely they are to win next week, our hope is to get to a spot where our upside on the AL winner is high enough to give us the leverage to hedge out of the real liability, making sure we at least break even.
Pick: Los Angeles to win –200. 4.00 units to win 2.00.
Brown at Bryant
Another Friday, another Battle of Rhode Island for Brown.
Bryant’s 0–3 against the FCS but 2–4 overall, with a win over UMass and a win over Bentley, who is not Division I. It’s a weird record for a weird team, but it’s not as bad as 2–4 looks on the surface. Brown, meanwhile, has been better than expected, but not by that much more than Bryant. We don’t love Movelor’s read on this one, but we do think it’s probably less than ten points off.
Pick: Bryant +5.5 (–140). 1.97 units to win 1.41.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –432.73 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 827 single-game markets plus three completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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