Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,572 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,605 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you have a gambling problem, get help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Texas @ Oklahoma State
This isn’t a bet on Texas to be distracted, or to be worse without their intended head coach on the sideline. Oklahoma State’s just good enough for this to be a tossup given the game’s in Stillwater.
Pick: Oklahoma State +3 (-102). Low confidence.
Kansas State @ Baylor
Baylor can’t play defense right now, or is for some reason choosing not to. I understand the thought that Kansas State won’t score 116 by themselves again, but this line takes that thinking too far.
Pick: Over 146.5 (-110). Low confidence.
