Small day yesterday, but positive. Big day today.
Ohio State at Michigan
Maybe it happens again. But more likely, the “maybe it happens again” thinking is creating an opportunity here.
Pick: Ohio State –9.5 (–110). 1.09 units to win 0.99.
Iowa State at Oklahoma State
This has happened quietly, but Iowa State’s playing well again. Not amazingly well, but well.
Pick: Iowa State –14 (–109). 1.08 units to win 0.99.
Harvard at Villanova
Villanova is worthy of doubt, but they shouldn’t be a home dog to Harvard. The CAA might be overvalued by the committee, and the Ivy League might be hard to value, but Villanova shouldn’t be a home dog here.
Pick: Villanova +2 (–110). 1.09 units to win 0.99.
Vanderbilt at Tennessee
Tennessee almost beating Georgia continues to define them. That’s not who they are.
Pick: Vanderbilt +2.5 (–105). 1.04 units to win 0.99.
SMU at Cal
SMU’s good. Might be the best team in the ACC right now.
Pick: SMU –13.5 (–108). 1.07 units to win 0.99.
DePaul vs. LSU
We don’t trust LSU, but we really don’t trust DePaul.
Pick: LSU –5 (–110). 1.09 units to win 0.99.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –538.84 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 977 single-game markets plus four completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
**
