Up to six wins in a row. Going back to the same play.
Michigan State at Indiana
Our method these last five days has been to find prominent games where the market total is close to the kenpom number, and to then bet on the side of the market. Kenpom is amazing, and the market’s a little better, and we think right now the market isn’t quite confident enough in itself.
Pick: Over 143.5 (–110). 4.83 units to win 4.39.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –556.62 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,088 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
**
