Up to three straight college basketball wins. History suggests we will not keep this going.
USC at Iowa
I get the hesitation, but the numbers don’t go out the window just because the matchup’s a little weird. Iowa’s a lot better than USC. This game’s at Carver-Hawkeye. It might not be a fun watch, but the Hawks should get it done.
Pick: Iowa –9 (–120). 3.85 units to win 3.21.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –595.40 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,050 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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