Today’s Best Bets: Rock Chalk

Just college basketball today. Getting to be that season. We’ll try to do football futures tomorrow.


UConn at Kansas

Darryn Peterson’s absence is affecting this line, and I’m not sure it should be. We’ve seen what KU looks like without him. Is it great? No. But it’s good enough to play with UConn at Allen Fieldhouse.

Pick: Kansas +2.5 (–105). 1.09 units to win 1.04.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –534.10 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 988 single-game markets plus four completed futures portfolios)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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