For the first one, this is the very last minute. I apologize for that.
St. John’s @ Villanova
I get the concern about this game. Villanova has Eric Dixon. Villanova’s the home team. If St. John’s is going to get trapped, tonight makes sense, sandwiched between UConn and a chance to wrap up the Big East title at MSG (vs. Creighton). In the end, though, St. John’s has Rick Pitino, one of the best single-game coaches in college basketball history. Villanova has Kyle Neptune.
Pick: St. John’s –2 (–110). 10.00 units to win 9.09.
Florida State @ Wake Forest
I like this Wake Forest team. I like Steve Forbes. I like a team with a lot to play for facing a team with little to play for. Florida State won one game against one of the worst-performing teams in the ACC (which is saying a lot). Markets seem to be making too much of that.
Pick: Wake Forest –7 (–105). 10.00 units to win 9.52.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. We’ll get that Google Sheet up soon which tracks all our bets this year.
2025: –111.78 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 72 single-game markets)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
**
