I’m still thinking about how few points Notre Dame scored last night.
But we won!
Onward.
Florida at Texas
Florida plays fast, which sometimes obscures how effective their defense is. They’ll give Texas fits getting second chances tonight, and while Texas will get its share of free throws, it shouldn’t be as many as the Longhorns are used to getting. Put it all together, and that could be a long night for an offense that struggles to make shots.
Pick: Under 160 (–105). 4.43 units to win 4.22.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –573.76 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,084 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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