We had it last night. We lost it. More hoops today, with football back tomorrow.
Georgia at Texas
Iowa State at Oklahoma State
Boston College at Notre Dame
We don’t trust Texas or Notre Dame, and we’re scared of Oklahoma State. Where that leaves us:
- Georgia’s going to get points today. Probably a lot. But Texas might be able to keep up with them. The probability’s high enough to make the over look like the play.
- Iowa State should score plenty in Stillwater, but again, the hosts might keep up.
- Notre Dame might be in freefall, but if they are, they lose this outright and badly. More likely, this is a circle the wagons day for the Irish.
Pick: UT/UGA over 167.5 (–110). 3.14 units to win 2.85.
Pick: ISU/OSU over 160 (–110). 3.14 units to win 2.85.
Pick: ND –7.5 (–110). 3.14 units to win 2.85.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –555.24 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,045 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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