Today’s Best Bets: Overs, Unfortunately

Up and down. Down and up.


Texas at Oklahoma

College basketball overs are often suckers’ bets, and…we’re taking this over. We don’t know if OU can win. We don’t trust Texas. We do think OU will get points and will allow points.

Pick: Over 155.5 (–110). 3.48 units to win 3.16.

Notre Dame at Syracuse

College basketball overs are often suckers’ bets, and…we’re taking this over. Braeden Shrewsberry’s shot pretty well at the Carrier Dome the last two years. Syracuse’s defense has been messy lately. Grit our teeth.

Pick: Over 145.5 (–110). 3.48 units to win 3.16.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –599.28 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,053 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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