No new futures today—we’re hoping for more opportunity tomorrow (we’re really hoping for NIT markets to open), when we’ll double up on what we place. Nebraska and Illinois took care of business yesterday for us, keeping those angles alive. Today we want Santa Clara and Purdue to get through.
Iowa vs. Clemson
Similarly to yesterday, we’re rolling with a gap in conference performance so far. This is small-sample stuff, but it doesn’t look like the ACC got better over the conference season, and it doesn’t look like the Big Ten got worse. With kenpom extremely narrowly favoring this line too, and with Ben McCollum having enough March success last year to not worry about that angle against Brad Brownell, we like the Hawkeyes to get the win and the cover.
Pick: Iowa –1.5 (–107). 4.24 units to win 3.96.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –569.76 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,104 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
**
