Not much time today, so no college basketball futures again today, and we’re also going to wait until tomorrow to start our MLB betting for the season—both futures and moneylines. We did test last year, and starting the futures portfolio late worked just fine.
Nevada at Auburn
I’m uneasy about this, of course, but we keep getting evidence the Mountain West is undervalued this year. We’ve got no better angle to try.
Pick: Nevada +9 (–115). 4.30 units to win 3.74.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –562.18 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,108 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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