Great note to end the MLB regular season on.
No MLB futures today, since we’re still building out our postseason simulator (so we can track our scenarios with more precision), which means it’s just the later of the two Monday Night Football games. You know the drill.
Cincinnati at Denver
In FPI we trust. (We probably should’ve taken the earlier game if we were staying perfectly in accordance with our procedures. Apologies for that. Didn’t get to this in time.)
Pick: Denver –7 (–115). 8.11 units to win 7.05.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –425.04 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 803 single-game markets plus three completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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