Today’s Best Bets: Monday, February 13th

Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,667 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.

Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.

Drexel @ Hofstra

Hofstra’s shouldn’t be caught off guard by Drexel. The Dragons are substantially the worse team, but they’re near the top of the CAA because of just how thin that top is. At home, we like the Pride to get it done.

Pick: Hofstra -9 (-110). Low confidence.

Northeastern @ College of Charleston

When Charleston gets rolling, it really gets rolling, and it got rolling up in Boston the last time these two met. The Cougars shouldn’t have much trouble tonight.

Pick: College of Charleston -15.5 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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