Nice little win in a rivalry game last night. Let’s see if we can do it again.
Michigan State at Michigan
Michigan isn’t invincible, but they are a really, really good basketball team. At home, even against what might be Tom Izzo’s best team since Covid, we like the Wolverines to get it done.
Pick: Michigan –10.5 (–110). 4.76 units to win 4.33.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –563.13 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,095 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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