The end of MACtion always sneaks up on me.
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan’s one of the teams who’s largely overperformed Movelor’s expectations at home and underperformed them on the road. That’s especially true if you remove the LIU loss. It happened, but EMU’s been much better since it did, and the market hasn’t fully come around. We know WMU has more to play for here. But it’s senior night, and it’s MACtion, and this is a nice round number. We like the Eagles.
Pick: Eastern Michigan +10 (–112). 1.10 units to win 0.98.
Washington State vs. Arizona State
Washington State almost lost to Chaminade last night. That’s not a game kenpom accounts for, and kenpom still has Arizona State favored by eight here. We’re going to fade the Cougs. Sorry, guys.
Pick: Arizona State –5.5 (–110). 1.08 units to win 0.98.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –540.19 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 963 single-game markets plus four completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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