It is late. Our options are limited.
Boise State at Utah State
This goes against our recent approach (the market likes Boise State more than kenpom does), but our recent approach has been too hit or miss to give it much credence. We’ll trust the fundamentals. Go Aggies.
Pick: Utah State –9 (–110). 4.53 units to win 4.12.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –584.31 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,073 single-game markets plus six completed futures portfolios)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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