Tough stuff last night. Back to square one.
Wisconsin at Penn State
We’re Wisconsin believers, but we also don’t think Penn State’s a completely lost cause. It’d be aggressive to pick them outright, but a close game tonight seems likely.
Pick: Penn State +6 (–105). 3.05 units to win 2.90.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.
2025–26: –550.59 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025–26: –6% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 1,043 single-game markets plus five completed futures portfolios and one partly completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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