The A’s got the ball in play, but they couldn’t get on base. Our win streak is over. Long live the next win streak.
Chicago (AL) at Cleveland
The White Sox have lost seven straight. They’re tied for the worst record in baseball at 2–9. But they haven’t been as bad as that looks. Their run differential is only –7 so far, giving them a Pythagorean record of 5–6. Their BaseRuns record is 4–7. FanGraphs is projecting them to play at a 63-win quality from here. With Cleveland using its best bullpen both of the last two days, we think there’s value on this. We would prefer different value, but we couldn’t find any of that today.
Pick: Chicago to win +210. 15.00 units to win 31.50. Cannon and Williams must start.
NL Central
If the Brewers win today in Denver, they’ll be percentage points ahead of the Cubs in the NL Central. Then, tomorrow, the Cubs open a three-game series against the Dodgers.
It’s April. It’s early. But the Brewers are in this thing again, and at this point, you kind of have to expect them to be there.
Pick: Milwaukee to win +325. 2.00 units to win 6.50.
World Series
No new value today besides the Crew, but we can add a Rays postseason future, only having something on their regular season so far. The Rays are another it’s silly to count out early.
Pick: Tampa Bay to win +5500. 2.00 units to win 110.00.
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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. We’ll get that Google Sheet up soon which tracks all our bets this year.
2025: –85.83 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025: –3% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 256 single-game markets plus one completed futures portfolio)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.
These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.
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