Today’s Best Bets: Heat Index Is Hot

Another nice day yesterday, and the Phillies could clinch the division today, which would finally loosen back up our cash flow.

Baseball and Sunday Night Football ahead. Hold on tight.


Colorado at San Diego

Nothing spot-based today, and Heat Index is changing it up a little. The Rockies have been bad enough to make this Heat Index’s second choice, while…

Pick: San Diego to win –320. 1.22 units to win 0.38. Márquez and Darvish must start.

Anaheim at Seattle

…the Angels have been bad enough to make this our system’s top pick. Heat Index is on a 10–0 run. Here’s hoping it can keep it up.

Pick: Seattle to win –212. 0.81 units to win 0.38. Hendricks and Kirby must start.


Atlanta at Minnesota

We’ve said it before: FPI likes the Vikings to cover this number. We like FPI.

Pick: Minnesota –3 (–110). 0.29 units to win 0.26.

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I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. At some point we’ll get that Google Sheet up which tracks all our bets this year.

2025–26: –484.64 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)

2025–26: –7% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 741 single-game markets plus three completed futures portfolios)

Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)

Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.

These bets are not investment advice. If you’re worried you or someone you know might have a gambling addiction, call 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

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The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. NIT Bracketology, college football forecasting, and things of that nature. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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