Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,743 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,616 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
No new futures again today. Just these two plays:
North Texas vs. UAB
This is disrespectful.
North Texas is the better team and has been for most of the year. Jelly Walker’s an amazing shooter, and the Blazers are playing better than they were, but UNT is too good to be an underdog in this one.
Pick: North Texas +1 (-110). Low confidence.
Sam Houston State vs. Grand Canyon
Similarly, I’m not sure why this line has narrowed like it has. The Bearkats crush offenses, and Grand Canyon’s offense isn’t great at protecting the ball. Chalk here too.
Pick: Sam Houston State -2.5 (-110). Low confidence.
