Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,626 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,605 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Buffalo @ Kent State
We like Kent State to bounce back after the NIU loss, especially with Buffalo’s willingness to run potentially driving this possession count through the roof.
Pick: Kent State -10.5 (-110). Low confidence.
Air Force @ New Mexico
Air Force isn’t a pushover, and after two straight emotional victories, New Mexico has every reason to come out flat. Look for the Falcons to slow things to a grind and make UNM work for it.
Pick: Under 142.5 (-110). Low confidence.
