Today’s Best Bets: Friday, February 3rd

Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,641 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).

Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.

Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.

Yale @ Harvard

Yale shot the lights out of the place last weekend against both Penn and Princeton, making a total of 24 threes against 46 attempted.

That’s unusual for them.

On the season, Yale is a perfectly average shooting team. Look for them to cool off, and look for Harvard to be the beneficiary at home.

Pick: Harvard +3 (-105). Low confidence.

Cornell @ Princeton

Elsewhere, Princeton might not have much in the way of home court advantage, but they shouldn’t need it. The Tigers have looked like the better team than Cornell almost all season long, including in their first matchup a few weeks ago in Ithaca. We like the guys in orange to firmly take control of the league tonight by getting Cornell off its rhythm, just like last time.

Pick: Princeton -3 (-110). Low confidence.

The Barking Crow's resident numbers man. Was asked to do NIT Bracketology in 2018 and never looked back. Fields inquiries on Twitter: @joestunardi.
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