Editor’s Note: Since November 2018, Joe has been publishing picks here and back at All Things NIT, our former site. Overall, the results have been mixed, with an average return on investment, per pick, of -1% when weighting by confidence (1 for low, 2 for medium, 3 for high) across 4,675 published picks, not including pending futures, and an average return on investment, per pick, of +3% across 1,607 completed high and medium-confidence picks (low confidence picks, these days, are in experimental markets for us).
Use these picks at your own risk. Only you are responsible for any money you lose, and you should not bet more than you can afford to lose. If you’re afraid you might have a gambling problem, seek help.
Odds for these come the better option between Bovada and BetOnline. We used to use the Vegas Consensus, but it’s no longer consistently available in an accurate form online. KenPom is used in making college basketball picks. FiveThirtyEight’s SPI is heavily used in making soccer futures picks. ESPN’s FPI is heavily used in making NFL futures picks.
Quinnipiac @ Siena
On a night where we don’t have the best pulse on the leagues in action, we could do worse than a narrow home favorite.
Pick: Siena -2.5 (-110). Low confidence.
New Mexico @ San Jose State
Similar story here, though we’re more in tune with the Mountain West. New Mexico hasn’t been playing terribly, but they’re in a rough stretch, and while we often like those to end, we don’t love the course correction angle tonight. New Mexico was too suspect to begin with.
Pick: San Jose State -1.5 (-113). Low confidence.
