Just tonight’s college basketball today. We’ll be back tomorrow with our second round of NFL conference championship picks, plus our weekend college basketball bets.
Michigan @ Purdue
The last time Purdue lost a home game, they won their next five games in a row. The time before that, they won their next nine in a row. The time before that, three in a row. It’s fickle stuff, but the idea of bouncing back well from frustrating defeats resonates with this program’s identity. We’ll give it a shot.
Pick: Purdue –3.5 (–110). 10.00 units to win 9.09.
Pick: Under 151.5 (–112). 10.00 units to win 8.93.
**
I am only roughly 90% confident in these numbers. We’ll get that Google Sheet up soon which tracks all our bets this year.
2025: –43.56 units (started with 1,000-unit bankroll)
2025: –4% average ROI (weighted by unit; sample size: 31 single-game markets)
Pre-2025: 0% average ROI (worse when limited to only sports)
Units taken from best odds we can find at major sportsbooks available to most Americans.